Friday Numbers from SBD !!!!
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 11033
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mark66 wrote: btw, Nikki Finke reports $1.2m for SUPERMAN RETURNS, which would be a 40 % drop...
Who is nikki Finke?
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Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:07 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13056 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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mark66 wrote: btw, Nikki Finke reports $1.2m for SUPERMAN RETURNS, which would be a 40 % drop...
If true, SR will kick CLERKS II out of the weekend top ten...
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Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:08 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13056 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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neo_wolf wrote: mark66 wrote: btw, Nikki Finke reports $1.2m for SUPERMAN RETURNS, which would be a 40 % drop... Who is nikki Finke?
http://www.deadlinehollywooddaily.com/
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Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:10 pm |
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Outatime
Veteran
Joined: Fri Nov 04, 2005 9:00 pm Posts: 3413 Location: South Florida
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That woman is crazy saying Clerks II had a 'disastrous' OW and is a 'big bomb'.... 
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Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:24 pm |
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deathawk
Madoshi
Joined: Sun May 08, 2005 12:35 pm Posts: 631 Location: Cephiro
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That is most likely a typo. In the next sentence she gives the exact same figure for Clerks 2. She is pretty emphatic about it making less than 4M, and it would only need a 3.4 IM to make 4+ (Last week it has a 3.7)
OTOH, she also is known to round oddly at times and 1.1 something is at least a possible number...
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Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:29 pm |
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Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm Posts: 13270 Location: Yuppieville
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Outatime wrote: That woman is crazy saying Clerks II had a 'disastrous' OW and is a 'big bomb'.... 
heh, how stupid. It's already made back its budget.
_________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee." 
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Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:30 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40597
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Pretty good for John Tucker Must Die, though this is the kind of a movie that won't be blessed with a good multiplier, so I see $15 million for the weekend and less than $40 million for tota.l Good, but not great.
Lecter, how will it have a 2.5 multiplier?  With summer weekdays, that's crazy. No comedies go that low, unless it's a frontloaded fanbase like Clerks. It'd have to be The Village of comedies. The WOM for this is fairly decent, it's solid B range enjoyable. Under 40 mil and a 2.5 multiplier is impossible. That IM is awfully low too, no need to keep ragging, but if it falls a hefty -5% on Saturday it will still make 15.5. I see a 16 mil weekend and nothing under 50 million total, personally.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:59 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23386 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Not too bad for Miami Vice - a $24m weekend should be in store for it.
Good for Tucker - about what everyone expected.
Ant Bully - as if this was going to be anything other than a flop. Really - who is stupid enough to open a CGI film one week after another CGI film. Its pathetic strategy. As for Barnyard - expect a opening weekend well under $10m.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Sat Jul 29, 2006 6:59 pm |
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rolandka19
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 9:33 am Posts: 1117 Location: Somewhere in the East Coast
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Solid numbers for Miami Vice (even though it will have TERRIBLE legs) and John Tucker Must Die (surprising!)
Ouch for The Ant Bully!
Yay for Pirates 2!!!
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Sun Jul 30, 2006 1:58 am |
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zennier
htm
Joined: Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:38 pm Posts: 10316 Location: berkeley
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MG Casey wrote: Wow, anti-crowd reports for Miami Vice. It must have done reeeeally well in areas lke urban Florida.
Not really, no.
Heh, it did solid business... Superman in Imax made more, though. As did Ant Bully.... but it's performances is about on target with the opening.
Everything else performed poorly...
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Sun Jul 30, 2006 2:24 am |
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gardenia.11/14....
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:43 am Posts: 1241 Location: the south
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Thegun wrote: Good numbers all around, not very exciting though, these weekend was easy to pin. I knew the Ant Bully would bomb, good number for MV, I figured it wouldnt make much more than Collateral. Pirates should be able to squeeze over 20 million. Suprising somewhat for Monster House, it might drop almost 50% from last week. John tucker looks to be in the 16 million range, very good breakout success in my book.
I think Superman will finish the weekend at #10 knocking off Clerks II, which is a shame after one week. Im still hoping for a 30 million total.
Ant Bully- a high-concept, (usually appreciated), with decent animation focused(sic) at a centrist audience...
I am a bit curiuos why it opened so-so... Competition??
I have never said it, before.. Where was any ads?? I saw more marketing for 'Chicken Little'....
_________________ -------------------------------------------------------- My book>hollywoodatemybrain.com<... True?!..
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Sun Jul 30, 2006 2:54 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501
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deathawk wrote: Interesting, much better for MV than Yahoo was indicating, but still lower than we were thinking a few days ago.
How many times have I been saying now Ladies and Gentlemen that the whole YAHOO Buzz Tracking is a bunch of Bullsh*t??? You really can't guage that for how a movie will open..
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Sun Jul 30, 2006 4:18 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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MIAMI_BKB wrote: deathawk wrote: Interesting, much better for MV than Yahoo was indicating, but still lower than we were thinking a few days ago. How many times have I been saying now Ladies and Gentlemen that the whole YAHOO Buzz Tracking is a bunch of Bullsh*t??? You really can't guage that for how a movie will open..
Coming from BKB, best compliment the thread has ever gotten. 
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Sun Jul 30, 2006 4:27 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Shack wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Pretty good for John Tucker Must Die, though this is the kind of a movie that won't be blessed with a good multiplier, so I see $15 million for the weekend and less than $40 million for tota.l Good, but not great.
Lecter, how will it have a 2.5 multiplier?  With summer weekdays, that's crazy. No comedies go that low, unless it's a frontloaded fanbase like Clerks. It'd have to be The Village of comedies. The WOM for this is fairly decent, it's solid B range enjoyable. Under 40 mil and a 2.5 multiplier is impossible. That IM is awfully low too, no need to keep ragging, but if it falls a hefty -5% on Saturday it will still make 15.5. I see a 16 mil weekend and nothing under 50 million total, personally.
Movies like this are not known for great multipliers (phenomenons like Mean Girls aside). Look at Scott's theatre 
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sun Jul 30, 2006 8:21 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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So, how about that, Shack? 
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sun Jul 30, 2006 1:24 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Shack wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Pretty good for John Tucker Must Die, though this is the kind of a movie that won't be blessed with a good multiplier, so I see $15 million for the weekend and less than $40 million for tota.l Good, but not great.
Lecter, how will it have a 2.5 multiplier?  With summer weekdays, that's crazy. No comedies go that low, unless it's a frontloaded fanbase like Clerks. It'd have to be The Village of comedies. The WOM for this is fairly decent, it's solid B range enjoyable. Under 40 mil and a 2.5 multiplier is impossible. That IM is awfully low too, no need to keep ragging, but if it falls a hefty -5% on Saturday it will still make 15.5. I see a 16 mil weekend and nothing under 50 million total, personally. Movies like this are not known for great multipliers (phenomenons like Mean Girls aside). Look at Scott's theatre 
Low IMs, but not really weak legs after that.
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Sun Jul 30, 2006 2:09 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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DP07 wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Shack wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Pretty good for John Tucker Must Die, though this is the kind of a movie that won't be blessed with a good multiplier, so I see $15 million for the weekend and less than $40 million for tota.l Good, but not great.
Lecter, how will it have a 2.5 multiplier?  With summer weekdays, that's crazy. No comedies go that low, unless it's a frontloaded fanbase like Clerks. It'd have to be The Village of comedies. The WOM for this is fairly decent, it's solid B range enjoyable. Under 40 mil and a 2.5 multiplier is impossible. That IM is awfully low too, no need to keep ragging, but if it falls a hefty -5% on Saturday it will still make 15.5. I see a 16 mil weekend and nothing under 50 million total, personally. Movies like this are not known for great multipliers (phenomenons like Mean Girls aside). Look at Scott's theatre  Low IMs, but not really weak legs after that.
Stick It?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sun Jul 30, 2006 2:25 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Surprisingly the people who are in the 50m+ club are the ones who think it wont have bad legs.
When a film drops 20%+ on a Saturday, thats not a good sign. It'll drop 55% next week.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Sun Jul 30, 2006 2:31 pm |
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