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 March 10-12 Predictions 
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The Greatest Avenger EVER
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ChipMunky wrote:
BKB_The_Man wrote:
I'm revising my prediction for THE HILLS HAVE EYES from 25 Million for the weekend to 5 Million based on a review I read where there is a Brutal Rape Scene and quite frankly, it sounds to me based on reading the review that it was thrown in for shock factor more than being a benefit for the story and that alone is disturbing.. Fuc* this..


Hills will make 5 mil on Friday ALONE... If anything a scene like that will hurt it's overall gross... not the OW...

Pwned! Twice in one night!!!


Um, seriously, you need to get over yourself cause you've really Pwned no one, but whatever helps you sleep at night I suppose.. As for my 5 Million prediction clown, it was sarcasm more than anything for the simple fact that I don't condone rape no matter what movie it is and after hearing this was in the movie, I'm completely turned off by it.. I'm sure it will do well this weekend, but come on already..


Thu Mar 09, 2006 1:52 am
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The Greatest Avenger EVER
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matatonio wrote:
BKB_The_Man wrote:
I'm revising my prediction for THE HILLS HAVE EYES from 25 Million for the weekend to 5 Million based on a review I read where there is a Brutal Rape Scene and quite frankly, it sounds to me based on reading the review that it was thrown in for shock factor more than being a benefit for the story and that alone is disturbing.. Fuc* this..


thats a pretty big change there, just because its getting bad reviews doesnt mean its going to do VERY bad on its opening weekend like Chip said it will effect its overrall gross and it will prolly make $5M on friday


Rape is something that I'm completely turned off by and giving this movie 5 Million down from 25 Million was more my venting of a film I was actually looking forward to before I read that and as a result, I'm willing to give this the lowest box offuice number possible just because of it.. In other words: Obviously, I know it will make more than 5 Million but come on already..


Thu Mar 09, 2006 1:55 am
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Box Office Guru:
The Shaggy Dog: 23 million
The Hills Have Eyes: 17 million
Failure to Launch: 15 million
The Libertine: 4 million
16 Blocks: 7.5 million
Eight Below: 6 million
Madea's Family Reunion: 6 million


Thu Mar 09, 2006 10:52 am
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Final Predictions:

1. The Shaggy Dog - $30 million
2. The Hills Have Eyes - $18.2 million
3. Failure to Launch - $12 million
4. 16 Blocks - $6.2 million
5. Madea's Family Reunion - $6 million
6. Eight Below - $5.8 million
7. Aquamarine - $3.7 million
8. Ultraviolet - $3.6 million
9. The Pink Panther - $3.5 million
10. Dave Chapelle's Block Party - $3 million
11. The Libertine - $1.8 million


Thu Mar 09, 2006 8:00 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 9:33 am
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Final Derby Predictions:

1. The Shaggy Dog- $28.0 million
2. The Hills Have Eyes- $20.4 million
3. Failure to Launch- $18.1 million
4. 16 Blocks- $7.6 million
5. Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion- $6.0 million
6. Eight Below- $5.7 million
7. Aquamarine- $4.5 million
8. The Pink Panther- $4.5 million
9. Ultraviolet- $4.0 million
10. The Libertine- $1.8 million


Fri Mar 10, 2006 12:11 am
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Wall-E

Joined: Thu Nov 03, 2005 7:11 pm
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Post hills
this message is for Zing, or Xian...

Do you think Hills Have Eyes will go OVER 16.5 million or UNDER 16.5 million?

help me out, dudes.


Fri Mar 10, 2006 12:44 am
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King Albert!
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Post Re: hills
LittleBeaver wrote:
this message is for Zing, or Xian...

Do you think Hills Have Eyes will go OVER 16.5 million or UNDER 16.5 million?

help me out, dudes.


You mean I am not a top predictor.

Anyway, I say over.

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Fri Mar 10, 2006 12:46 am
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Teh Mexican
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im not a top predictor.......just yet, hehe!

but i think it do a little over $17M


Fri Mar 10, 2006 12:50 am
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Wall-E

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thanks... you're good too, Scott. :smile:


Fri Mar 10, 2006 12:55 am
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Wall-E

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Post Re: hills
LittleBeaver wrote:
this message is for Zing, or Xian...

Do you think Hills Have Eyes will go OVER 16.5 million or UNDER 16.5 million?

help me out, dudes.



Anyone Else????????????????? (the buzz is good on the net.. but so was Ultraviolets and it only pulled in 9 mil.)


Fri Mar 10, 2006 12:56 am
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Artie the One-Man Party

Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm
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Went a little more in depth this week and spent 10 minutes on my predictions...Just don't have the time lately.
VERY low for HHE (12.9)
SD-28
FTL-15.2?
Libertine-2.5ish?


Fri Mar 10, 2006 12:57 am
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Orphan

Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
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Final Predictions:

1. The Shaggy Dog - 30 million
2. The Hills Have Eyes - 20 million
3. Failure to Launch - 16 million
4. 16 Blocks - 6.2 million
5. Madea's Family Reunion - 6 million
6. Eight Below - 5.5 million
7. Aquamarine - 4 million
8. Ultraviolet - 4 million
9. The Pink Panther - 4 million
10. Date Movie - 3.5 million


Fri Mar 10, 2006 1:12 am
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Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
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The Shaggy Dog - $25 million
The Hills Have Eyes - $15.5 million
Failure to Launch - $14 million


Fri Mar 10, 2006 1:33 am
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Devil's Advocate
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Shaggy Dog is still on neither Moviefone or the Yahoo Buzz Chart. It's a kids film, but for the supposed biggest movie of the year so far on Thursday night? Pink Panther didn't have that problem.

I'm still not convinced. This is Tim Allen, who isn't exactly a big draw.

And btw, Hills is #1 and FTL is #4 on moviefone.

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Fri Mar 10, 2006 1:55 am
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Extraordinary

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BTW, I'm skipping the derby this weekend (and probably for a while) due to personal issues.

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Fri Mar 10, 2006 2:22 am
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:ohmy:

:ohmy: :ohmy: :ohmy:

Wow. The champ has...left the building.

Hope you have good luck with whatever your personal issues are.

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Fri Mar 10, 2006 2:23 am
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The French Dutch Boy
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xiayun wrote:
BTW, I'm skipping the derby this weekend (and probably for a while) due to personal issues.


What the....? It seems weird that personal issues would prevent you from playing the derby. It can't be too good, then. Best of luck, xiayun. I'm disappointed such an amazing player is dropping out, but it's obviously the good thing.

PEACE, Mike.


Fri Mar 10, 2006 2:27 am
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Final predictions
The Shaggy Dog - 19.6 million
Hills Have Eyes - 19.2 million
Failure to Launch - 18.7 million
16 Blocks - 7.4 million
Eight Below - 6.7 million
Madea's Family Reunion - 5.3 million
Aquamarine - 4.5 million
Pink Panther - 4.3 million
Ultraviolet - 3.6 million
The Libertine - 3.2 million
Dave Chappelle's Block Party - 2.8 million

Decided to go for all or nothing on Shaggy Dog. I give it a $5600 PTA, which isn't bad, but unimpressive considering the tracking and expectations.

Hills Have Eyes has the most buzz from what I can tell, I give it a Saw I-like $7700 average for a great weekend.

Failure to Launch should do fine, I changed my mind about it a bit. People need a cute and fun romantic comedy, and that one area is where McCaugheney has had his one uber-hit. SJP and Terry Bradshaw don't hurt either.

I know I'm taking a risk predicting away from the consenseus on all 3, so for that reason I think this will make me or break me. I'll either get back in the game to fix my slumping, or I'll have a huge rip in my comeback attempt.

As for the holdovers...

16 Blocks drops nicely like Firewall.

Chapelle, Ultraviolet, and Madea's all bomb fall as expected.

Eight Below, Pink Panther, have solid if not unspectacular holds due to Shaggy Dog competition for EB and -700 theatre loss for Pink Panther.

Aquamarine holds up nicely but not spectacular.

I can't believe we're predicting the Libertine, I was unaware of that until tonight. I've been seeing some ads and I think Depp has some pull, so I give it a fair $4000 PTA, hanging around the derby average. Hope it doesn't kill me.

Edit - Lowered Ultraviolet a bit to my original gut of -60%

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Last edited by Shack on Fri Mar 10, 2006 2:48 am, edited 1 time in total.



Fri Mar 10, 2006 2:33 am
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Extraordinary

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By personal issues, I don't mean something horrible, but I'd like to take some time off to recharge myself. It's not because of my recent form either, although I'd certainly have liked to see myself doing better. Winning last year took a lot of out of me, so were some of other recent developments (such as getting a lot busier at the moment). I'd rather focus myself on writing articles for the site for the spare time I can find as well as try some different thinkings. I know it only takes 5 minutes to copy them to derby, but, anyway. Maybe I'll come back with a fresh new strategy. :)

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Fri Mar 10, 2006 2:39 am
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loyalfromlondon
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Final Predictions

1. The Shaggy Dog - $26.3 million
2. The Hills Have Eyes - $18.3 million
3. Failure to Launch - $12.2 million
4. Eight Below - $7.1 million
5. 16 Blocks - $6.3 million
6. Madea's Family Reunion - $5.7 million
7. The Pink Panther - $4.5 million
8. Aquamarine - $3.7 million
9. Ultraviolet - $3.5 million
10. The Libertine - $2 million

This week, I deliberately went with my gut and ignored the consensus here (although they were pretty much the same). Hope I do better...

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zwackerm wrote:
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Same.


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Fri Mar 10, 2006 2:43 am
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BJs Predictions

1. The Shaggy Dog - 24m
2. The Hills Have Eyes - 16.5m
3. Failure to Launch - 16m
4. 16 Blocks - 7.2m
5. Eight Below - 6.4m
6. Madea's Family Reunion - 5.8m
7. Aquamarine - 5.2m
8. The Pink Panther - 4.3m
9. Ultraviolet - 3.8m
10. The Libertine - 3m

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Fri Mar 10, 2006 3:06 am
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am
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The Shaggy Dog - 22.2
Hills Have Eyes - 16.6
Failure to Launch - 13.3
16 Blocks - 6.9
8 Below - 6.1
Madea's Reunion - 5.4
Aquamarine - 4.1
Pink Panther - 3.6
Ultraviolet - 3.3
The Libertine - 2.2

Hopefully I can bounce back from two dismal weeks ;)

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Fri Mar 10, 2006 4:22 am
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My derby predictions.

Shaggy Dog - 28.6m ($8200 pta)
The Hills Have Eyes - 17.6m ($6700 pta)
Failure to Launch - 13.8m ($4500 pta)
16 Blocks - 6.6m (-44%)
Madea's Family Reunion - 5.8m (-54%)
Eight Below - 5.7m (-44%)
Aquamarine - 4.2m (-44%)
Pink Panther - 3.8m (-45%)
Ultraviolent - 3.3m (-64%)
Libertine - 3.0m ($3600 pta)

Top Ten cume - 92.4m

The worse Shaggy Dog can do is Snow Dogs pta.
The Hills Have Eyes should get similar ptas Final Destination 3.
Failure to Launch will be in the same area as Must Love Dogs, Wedding Planner and Fever Pitch.
Libetine will do Casanova numbers.

The kid pics will fall a bit more thanks to Shaggy.

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Fri Mar 10, 2006 4:27 am
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Shaggy - 24.6
Failure to Launch - 20.6
Hills Have Eyes - 17.7
16 Blocks - 7.1
8 Below - 6.1
Medea's - 5.4
Aquamarine - 3.7
Pink Panther - 3.4
Libertine - 1.7

I wish we were predicting Block Party. It will certainly be more interesting to see how that drops then 16 Blocks or Ultraviolet.


Last edited by DP07 on Fri Mar 10, 2006 6:50 am, edited 1 time in total.



Fri Mar 10, 2006 6:27 am
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I think Failure to Launch will do better than many of you.

Libs should be ashamed to call herself a romcom fanboy after her prediction. (the term fangirl just doesn't have the same bite)


Fri Mar 10, 2006 6:31 am
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