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 HK: Look ahead - 12/23: HP7 vs. Megamind vs. Tron (WTF!?) 
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Post Re: HK: 8/5 - TS3 passes $10m; Inception #1; TSA ok; TKK FLOPS
Bluebomb, what was Salt's final total in HK?


Tue Aug 10, 2010 6:13 pm
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Post Re: HK: 8/5 - TS3 passes $10m; Inception #1; TSA ok; TKK FLOPS
Salt is still playing. Look below.

Weekend of Aug 5-8, 2010:

1 1 Inception WB $1,289,836 -23.0% 53 -17 $24,337 $3,931,360 2
2 2 Toy Story 3 Disney $800,341 -33.8% 50 -17 $16,007 $10,360,139 4
3 N The Sorcerer's Apprentice Disney $494,446 - 32 - $15,451 $494,446 1
4 N Despicable Me EDKO $459,396 - 35 - $13,126 $459,396 1
5 3 Tangshan dadizhen (Aftershock) n/a $245,267 -36.8% 23 - $10,664 $1,543,180 3
6 N Fei Cui Ming Zhu (The Jade And The Pearl) Intercontinental $201,623 - 35 - $5,761 $201,623 1
7 N The Karate Kid EDKO $88,957 - 19 - $4,682 $88,957 1
8 9 Shrek Forever After Intercontinental $75,257 +280.8% 5 -4 $15,051 $3,501,375 6
9 5 Eiga Doraemon: Nobita no ningyo daikaisen n/a $70,591 -55.6% 21 - $3,361 $292,967 2
10 4 Salt Sony $55,445 -79.6% 24 -21 $2,310 $1,530,614 3
11 6 Tenshi no koi (My Rainy Days) Cable $31,820 -61.5% 12 -3 $2,652 $157,205 2
12 7 Letters to Juliet EDKO $22,479 -70.7% 11 -8 $2,044 $132,892 2
13 N Le Petit Nicolas Golden Scene $8,523 - 3 - $2,841 $8,523 1
14 N Bandeiji (Bandage) n/a $7,119 - 1 - $7,119 $7,119 1
15 8 Ren Jian Xi Ju (Human Comedy) Golden Scene $6,175 -71.5% 3 -10 $2,058 $935,567 5
16 10 The Twilight Saga: Eclipse Golden Scene $2,095 -75.4% 1 -2 $2,095 $2,053,120 6

Inception had an excellent drop. 6m is a lock now and it could end up making more than 7m.

Very good for Toy Story 3. 11m is a lock while 12.5m looks to be the ceiling for this movie.

The Sorcerer's Apprentice survived well, managing to defeat all other new releases to grab #3. The Nic Cage vehicle managed to steal teens and couples away from the other animated, action flicks. 1m is not of the question.

Despicable Me disappointed and opened just below TSA. It's weekend gross is surprising given the good reviews and the number of screens it received. This may not even hit $1m.

Aftershock continued its run and was down 37% this week. It has passed Salt and will try and make it to $2m.

The Jade And The Pearl met expectations and opened with a meager $200,000. It'll try and bank $500,000 before it's out of theaters.

The Karate Kid bombed and made less than $100,000 as Jackie Chan's starpower proved disastrous for the flick. A total of about $200,000 is in store.

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Wed Aug 11, 2010 7:24 am
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Post Re: HK: 8/5 - TS3 passes $10m; Inception #1; TSA ok; TKK FLOPS
Wow @ TS3!

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Wed Aug 11, 2010 7:49 am
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Post Re: HK: 8/5 - TS3 passes $10m; Inception #1; TSA ok; TKK FLOPS
Well Salt dropped like a rock since its OW, but at least it was a pretty huge opening to give it a good gross.


Wed Aug 11, 2010 3:31 pm
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Post Re: HK: 8/5 - TS3 passes $10m; Inception #1; TSA ok; TKK FLOPS
Lol at Salt and The Karate Kid :funny:. It puts a smile on my face whenever mediocre movies perform poorly at the box office, in any territory.

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Wed Aug 11, 2010 6:38 pm
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Post Re: HK: 8/5 - TS3 passes $10m; Inception #1; TSA ok; TKK FLOPS
Thatguy wrote:
Lol at Salt and The Karate Kid :funny:. It puts a smile on my face whenever mediocre movies perform poorly at the box office, in any territory.


:disgust:

Salt is a good movie and last time I checked 1.5m isn't exactly "poor" in Hong Kong. Or are you just one of those people that trashed it because they were afraid it would hurt Inception's gross?


Wed Aug 11, 2010 7:24 pm
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Post Re: HK: 8/5 - TS3 passes $10m; Inception #1; TSA ok; TKK FLOPS
I wasn't trashing Salt's OW or total so far. That is certainly a pretty good OW for HK. I was just laughing at the huge drop and complete lack of legs.

I don't think Salt is a good movie, I thought it was an average movie. Too predictable in my opinion.

This has nothing to do with Inception. I just feel that Jolie is frankly overrated, and that Salt is simply an average/mediocre film. To me, there was nothing exceptional about Salt. Thus, I'm glad that the general audience in any territory also feels that the film was average, judging by the big drop.

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Wed Aug 11, 2010 8:41 pm
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Post Re: HK: 8/5 - TS3 passes $10m; Inception #1; TSA ok; TKK FLOPS
Well, to each his own I guess. I'm sure the crowded field and dropping TC didn't help its legs.


Wed Aug 11, 2010 10:47 pm
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Post Re: HK: 8/5 - TS3 passes $10m; Inception #1; TSA ok; TKK FLOPS
I don't know where BOM gets their numbers but it's been inconsistent so far.

Variety's - Aug 5-8, 2010:

1. Inception Warner Bros. International $1,287,362 2 40 $32,184 -23 $3,827,846
2. Toy Story 3 Walt Disney Int'l $651,740 4 43 $15,157 -46 $10,105,418
3. Sorcerer's Apprentice, The Walt Disney Int'l $500,122 1 31 $16,133 0 $500,122
4. Despicable Me Universal Int'l $464,592 1 32 $14,518 0 $464,592
5. Aftershock Media Asia $244,781 3 23 $10,643 -37 $1,509,637
6. Jade And The Pearl, The Intercontinental $196,177 1 33 $5,945 0 $196,177
7. Karate Kid Edko $91,767 1 18 $5,098 0 $91,767
8. Doraemon: Nobita's South Sea Adventure Universe Ent. $70,844 2 21 $3,374 -56 $293,982
9. Salt Sony Int'l $51,510 3 20 $2,575 -80 $1,498,860
10. My Rainy Days Sundream $30,160 2 11 $2,742 -64 $155,171

This is much closer to what I expected for TS3. The Cantonese version dropped around -50% but BOM says that TS3 only dropped 33%, which is impossible since it would require the English version to increase from last week. There's also no Shrek to be found in Variety's top 10. It did not increase by 281% like what BOM said.

Knowing BOM, they'll probably overcompensate the next week and have both films drop a ridiculous number like 75-85%. /rant

livethedream wrote:
Well, to each his own I guess. I'm sure the crowded field and dropping TC didn't help its legs.


Yep. Salt would have made over $2m if it were released in a non-WC year. This year has been way too crowded with big movies churning out every week. At one point, Inception was going to face off against Toy Story 3 but the distributor for Inception backed off and moved it down 2 weeks after TS3.

Going back to Salt, its total is disappointing if you look at past Angelina Jolie movies here. Wanted with over $2.8m, Mr. & Mrs. Smith with $3m. Salt was really at a disadvantage with TS3 releasing the week before and Inception the week after.

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Thu Aug 12, 2010 3:22 am
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Post Re: HK: 8/5 - TS3 passes $10m; Inception #1; TSA ok; TKK FLOPS
BOM get their numbers from actual sources I believe, but they do the exchange rate themselves and are usually using an incorrect one.

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Thu Aug 12, 2010 10:58 pm
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Post Re: HK: 8/5 - TS3 passes $10m; Inception #1; TSA ok; TKK FLOPS
Corpse wrote:
BOM get their numbers from actual sources I believe, but they do the exchange rate themselves and are usually using an incorrect one.


Weird. Too bad it doesn't explain why some movies increase ridiculous amounts even when they lose screens.

Thursday adm.August 12
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Step Up 3D--21022--
2Inception2558516491-35.5%
3The Last Airbender--8515--
4The Sorcerer's Apprentice118045626-52.3%
5Despicable Me (3D Cantonese)--4761--


Friday adm.August 13
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Inception3325123016-30.8%+39.6%
2Step Up 3D--20196---3.9%
3The Last Airbender--7615---10.6%
4The Sorcerer's Apprentice124457139-42.6%+26.9%
5Despicable Me (3D Cantonese)--5306--+11.4%


Saturday adm.August 14
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Inception5391241094-23.8%+78.5%
2Step Up 3D--25622--+26.9%
3The Last Airbender--10794--+41.7%
4The Sorcerer's Apprentice1923710212-46.9%+43.0%
5Despicable Me (3D Cantonese)--8519--+60.6%


Sunday adm.August 15
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Inception5407138070-29.6%-7.4%
2Step Up 3D--25783--+0.6%
3The Last Airbender--11785--+9.2%
4Despicable Me (3D Cantonese)--10651--+25.0%
5Toy Story 3 (3D Cantonese)2074810470-49.5%+2.5%


Weekend adm.August 12-15
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Inception166819123202-26.1%
2*Step Up 3D--92623--
3*The Last Airbender--38709--
4*Despicable Me (Cantonese)--31070--


Note: Movies marked with an asterisk are in 3D.

Weekend Summary:

Step Up looked like it was handily going to win the weekend when Thursday's finals came out. It was thousands of admissions ahead of Inception and it had the 3D surcharge to pad its lead. As each day's final numbers came in, it looked increasingly likely Inception would wind up #1 for a 3rd straight week.

Step Up 3D was terribly frontloaded while Inception had very strong weekend increases. Both movies will finish within $100,000 with each other but it will really depend on actuals to determine the winner. Step Up has the 3D surcharge while Inception has a 1/4 more admissions.

Who will win?

The Last Airbender opened at #3 and will probably end up with around $450,000-$550,000 for the weekend which isn't too bad. Reviews have been putrid and it should end up finishing below $1m.

Despicable Me might have clipped The Sorcerer's Apprentice with the English version included to end up #4 for the weekend. It is looking to bank $1m.

The Sorcerer's Apprentice held ok and should take #5. It is still on track to pass $1m.
________________________________________

Notes:

Avatar is coming back to the big screen. IMAX shows start on August 26.

The Stool Pigeon's release date has been set. It will start showing on August 26.

________________________________________

August 19 Preview

This weekend offers very little in the way of competition as there are only 2 wide releases coming out.

Vampires Suck will mostly be the main attraction as its trying to bank on the success of Twilight. There are no comedies out and it will be playing in an empty field. Interest isn't high though so it looks like it will only make around $400,000 which would be good for 2nd or 3rd place.

The only other major offering is Cats & Dogs: The Revenge of Kitty Galore. There are so many kid flicks that this will be ignored for other animated flicks like TS3 or Despicable Me or even anime flicks like Keroro or Doraemon. This looks dreadful and might not even break $200,000.

Holdovers

Inception - It won't face competition in its 4th weekend like it did in its 3rd. Regardless of where it lands this week, it will be #1 on the Aug. 19 weekend. I will predict another 20-30% drop only because of decreasing interest and attention.

Step Up 3D - It had terrible daily increases this week and was very frontloaded. It will probably drop like a rock next week to the tune of 60-65%.

The Last Airbender - No surprise that this is being given less showtimes as each day comes along. Even with light new releases, this is still going to drop big. 65-75% is not of the question.

Despicable Me - It hasn't been holding well for an animation flick and needs to hold well this weekend to have a good shot of passing $1m. With light competition, it might be able to do it. It should drop 35-40%.

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Sun Aug 15, 2010 12:43 pm
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Post Re: HK: 8/5 - TS3 passes $10m; Inception #1; TSA ok; TKK FLOPS
Update:

Ticket sales so far have been very poor for Vampires Suck. Meanwhile, Cats & Dogs 2 has been faring slightly better. It could come out on top between the new openers this week.

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Tue Aug 17, 2010 4:41 am
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Post Re: HK: Look ahead - 12/23: HP7 vs. Megamind vs. Tron (WTF!?)
Weekend of August 12-15, 2010:

1 1 Inception WB $886,024 -31.3% 47 -6 $18,852 $5,422,735 3
2 N Step Up 3-D Golden Scene $721,250 - 34 - $21,213 $721,250 1
3 N The Last Airbender Intercontinental $356,451 - 31 - $11,498 $356,451 1
4 2 Toy Story 3 Disney $292,045 -63.5% 33 -17 $8,850 $10,635,202 5
5 4 Despicable Me EDKO $271,294 -41.0% 33 -2 $8,221 $968,364 2
6 3 The Sorcerer's Apprentice Disney $245,943 -50.3% 31 -1 $7,934 $985,475 2
7 N Chun sing gai bei (City Under Seige) Lark $212,170 - 34 - $6,240 $212,170 1
8 5 Tangshan dadizhen (Aftershocks) n/a $118,534 -51.7% 20 -3 $5,927 $1,779,546 4
9 N Chou gekijôban Keroro gunsô: Tanjou! Kyuukyoku Keroro - Kiseki no jikuujima de arimasu!! Intercontinental $104,053 - 26 - $4,002 $104,053 1
10 6 Fei Cui Ming Zhu (Jade Pearl) Intercontinental $46,100 -77.1% 19 -16 $2,426 $338,559 2
11 7 The Karate Kid EDKO $19,846 -77.7% 15 -4 $1,323 $149,850 2
12 9 Eiga Doraemon: Nobita no ningyo daikaisen n/a $16,825 -76.2% 8 -13 $2,103 $338,125 3
13 10 Salt Sony $14,050 -74.7% 6 -18 $2,342 $1,568,690 4
14 12 Letters to Juliet EDKO $12,342 -45.1% 5 -6 $2,468 $158,193 3
15 11 Tenshi no koi (My Rainy Days) Cable $6,218 -80.5% 4 -8 $1,555 $180,516 3
16 13 Le Petit Nicolas Golden Scene $5,573 -34.6% 3 - $1,858 $18,895 2
17 N Ganz nah bei Dir (Close to You) n/a $3,106 - 1 - $3,106 $3,106 1
18 N Urutora mirakuru rabu sutôrî (Bare Essence of Life Ultra-Miracle Love Story) EDKO $2,822 - 1 - $2,822 $2,822 1
19 14 Bandeiji (Bandage) n/a $1,989 -72.1% 1 - $1,989 $11,326 2
20 8 Shrek Forever After Intercontinental $1,012 -98.7% 2 -3 $506 $3,502,671 7
21 15 Ren Jian Xi Ju (Human Comedy) Golden Scene $733 -88.1% 2 -1 $367 $938,945 6

I over-estimated both Step Up 3D and Inception's weekend grosses this week. Inception had a good hold but it needs to make all it can this week as big competition will arrive next week. 7m doesn't look likely although I wouldn't rule it out just yet.

Step Up 3D surprised many and opened with $700,000+. Considering that the 2nd film only made $1m when this has already made 3/4 of its gross in 3D is pretty good. It is on its way to $1.5m.

The Last Airbender didn't entice many and only opened around $350,000. It will finish with $800,000-$875,000.

The figures for Toy Story 3 from BOM were incorrect so I took it from Variety's instead. Essentially, all it means is that Toy Story 3 dropped 55% this week instead of 64%. It's not surprising that it's dropping heavier late in its run. Hong Kong is a frontloaded market meaning that movies usually rake in all they can during the first 3/4 weeks and then collapse. It is looking like it will barely make $11m but not much more than that. Around a $11.1 or 11.2m total.

Despicable Me had a good drop as it decreased by 41%. After last weekend's disappointing opening, this was welcome relief for the movie as it was looking like it would finish behind How To Train Your Dragon. Now, it might even sneak by Dragon and become the 2nd highest grossing animated movie of the year. It is looking at a total of around $1.3-1.4m.

The Sorcerer's Apprentice held ok and it is looking to finish with around $1.3-1.4m. Not too shabby.

City Under Siege opened with a cool $212,170. Trailers didn't excite many people as this was virtually ignored even with strong support from UA theaters.

Aftershock had an ok hold but will fall short of $2m. It is looking to finish with around $1.95m...an impressive gross after a poor opening and given the competition from huge blockbusters such as Toy Story 3 and Inception.

Keroro 5 had a soft opening and fell short of Doraemon's opening 2 weeks earlier. It will finish with around $225,000-$300,000.

The Jade And The Pearl collapsed after 1 week and won't even reach $400,000 total.

The Karate Kid, Doraemon, Salt all dropped more than 74%. The Karate Kid will only make a pitiful $180,000 while Doraemon will bank $365,000. Salt is going to finish with $1.6m.

September release dates:







Release DateMovie Title
September xxEat Pray Love
Lover's Discourse
Grown Ups
Ballad
September 2Kamui
Frozen (romance)
Wild Target
The Secret In Their Eyes (El Secreto De Sus Ojos)
Girl$
The Hole 3D
Memoirs Of A Teenage Amnesiac
September 9Frozen (thriller)
Going The Distance
Street Dance 3D
Sayonara Itsuka
My Darling Is A Foreigner
The Descent 2
Piranha 3D
September 11Taiwan Film Festival
September 16Housemaid
Liar Game
Killers
Vincere
September 23Devil
Legend Of The Fist: Return Of Chen Zhen
Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps
September 30Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D
Detective Dee


In the most confusing month ever, along with two different movies with the same title being released within a 2 week span, horror/thriller/suspense movies are going to come and go like crazy that you won't even remember which is which after you watched all of them.

September 2nd won't offer much in the way of heavy competition but once September 9th rolls around, you've got 3 suspense thrillers, 1 dance/musical and 3 romance films. I don't know who schedules these release dates but releasing 3 movies of any genre on the same weekend is overkill. There are 3 potential winners here that I see: Piranha 3D, Frozen and Street Dance 3D all look like they have a shot at #1. Street Dance may come out on top because Piranha and Frozen will fight for an audience while audiences here love dance movies and it has been building momentum with special previews going on at The Grand Cinema. September 16th looks quite bare right now and Eat Pray Love or Grown Ups might be slotted here. As it stands right now, Killers looks like a good bet to come out on top of all new releases. September 23 will be the biggest weekend as Wall Street and Chen Zhen will duke it out for #1. Chen Zhen might come out on top because of the gap between Wall Street's first and second movies and because of Donnie Yen's starpower but it will be an interesting weekend for sure. September 30th is Resident Evil's week to shine.

Some other release dates:

10/21 - The Other Guys
10/28 - Charlie St. Cloud, Saw 3D
11/11 - Paranormal Activity 2
11/25 - Scott Pilgrim vs. The World
12/9 - Narnia 3: The Voyage Of The Dawn Treader
12/23 - Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows, Tron: Legacy, Megamind (WTF?!)

No real surprises until we get to the Christmas weekend. WTF are the studios thinking scheduling two potential hits against Harry Potter? Oh, how I would love to see how people would react if this happened in the US. Obviously, they will probably move one or both movies but this is still pretty funny to see.

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Thu Aug 19, 2010 6:10 am
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Post Re: HK: Look ahead - 12/23: HP7 vs. Megamind vs. Tron (WTF!?)
Thursday adm.August 19
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Step Up 3D2102212710-39.5%
2Inception164919722-41.0%
3Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese)--8464--
4Vampires Suck--4421--
5Toy Story 3 (3D Cantonese)--2620--
6Despicable Me (3D Cantonese)47612355-50.5%


Good for Step Up 3 and Inception. Could this be the weekend Inception loses #1? Cats & Dogs opened virtually identical to The Last Airbender last Thursday. It should increase by a margin as the weekend goes by which should push it past $400,000. Poor for Vampires Suck. It will struggle to make $200,000. That is a good hold for Toy Story 3. It'll probably fall in the 40-45% range when all is said and done. That is a steep decline for Despicable Me. That drop doesn't bury the chance of beating Dragon's total although it isn't of any help either.

Friday adm.(so far)August 20
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Step Up 3D104907362-29.8%
2Inception122277162-41.4%
3Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese)--4430--
4Toy Story 3 (3D Cantonese)--1755--
5Vampires Suck--1748--


Very good for Step Up 3D. Ok for Inception. Pretty good for Toy Story 3. Atrocious for Vampires Suck.

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Thu Aug 19, 2010 1:50 pm
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Post Re: HK: Look ahead - 12/23: HP7 vs. Megamind vs. Tron (WTF!?)
Friday adm.August 20
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Inception2301615362-33.3%+58.0%
2Step Up 3D2019613680-32.3%+7.6%
3Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese)--7689---9.2%
4Vampires Suck--4423--+0.0%
5Toy Story 3 (3D Cantonese)--2829--
+8.0%


Saturday adm.(so far)August 21
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Inception184979994-46.0%+39.5%
2Step Up 3D108777491-31.1%+1.8%
3Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese)--5628--+27.0%
4Toy Story 3 (3D Cantonese)42902721-36.6%+55.0%
5Despicable Me (3D Cantonese)44642410-46.0%--

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Fri Aug 20, 2010 2:05 pm
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Post Re: HK: Look ahead - 12/23: HP7 vs. Megamind vs. Tron (WTF!?)
Saturday adm.August 21
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Inception4109427667-32.7%+80.1%
2Step Up 3D2562217595-31.3%+28.6%
3Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese)--11052--+43.7%
4Toy Story 3 (3D Cantonese)--5251--+85.6%
5Despicable Me (3D Cantonese)85194547-46.6%--


The only thing worthy of noting is that Vampires Suck is NOT listed in the top 5. It couldn't even muster an increase of 150 admissions from Friday. Really sad and pathetic for a movie to not increase on Saturday. Even Eclipse increased 2%. Vampires Suck might not even make $150,000 this weekend.

And yawn between the top 2's holds. I predict that when Sunday's admission numbers come in, Step Up 3D will beat out Inception's hold by 1%.

Sunday adm.(so far)August 22
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Inception2041711523-43.6%+15.3%
2Step Up 3D120298752-27.2%+16.8%
3Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese)--7337--+30.4%
4Toy Story 3 (3D Cantonese)66543731-43.9%+37.1%
5Despicable Me (3D Cantonese)60633459-42.9%+43.5%

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Sat Aug 21, 2010 1:08 pm
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Post Re: HK: Look ahead - 12/23: HP7 vs. Megamind vs. Tron (WTF!?)
Bluebomb,

My suggestion is you start a new thread and ask lecter to lock this one. That way you can also update 1st post with latest BO numbers or year till date numbers.

you could also post a link to this thread in your 1st post for older BO data.

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Sat Aug 21, 2010 1:21 pm
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Post Re: HK: Look ahead - 12/23: HP7 vs. Megamind vs. Tron (WTF!?)
Keyser Söze wrote:
Bluebomb,

My suggestion is you start a new thread and ask lecter to lock this one. That way you can also update 1st post with latest BO numbers or year till date numbers.

you could also post a link to this thread in your 1st post for older BO data.

Started a new thread. Thanks.

Hey Lecter, could you close this thread?

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Sun Aug 22, 2010 6:18 am
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Post Re: HK: Look ahead - 12/23: HP7 vs. Megamind vs. Tron (WTF!?)
There's no need to close it, it'll just die a natural way.

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Mon Aug 23, 2010 4:31 am
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