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 Poseidon Prediction Thread! 
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Child Actor
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35/103


Thu May 11, 2006 9:22 pm
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College Boy Z

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Poseidon is up to a score of 10 on Yahoo's Buzz Chart. I don't think we're looking at another Stealth or The Island, but more of a major domestic underperformer.


Thu May 11, 2006 9:25 pm
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Opening: $19 million
Total: $56 million

Meh. Doesn't make a splash, sinks like a rock.


Thu May 11, 2006 11:40 pm
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Extraordinary

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Who knows about the opening, but this baby's gonna have long legs!

It's a real movie. For that reason it's that's gonna benefit from WOM, to carry it past pretenders like M:i:3 and DVC...


Fri May 12, 2006 1:08 am
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Final prediction:
Opening: 21.3 mil
Total: 55 mil

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Fri May 12, 2006 1:09 am
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no way. after the crapfest of MI3 the WOM on Poseidon will be good.

it was a fun movie.


Fri May 12, 2006 1:11 am
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There's just a lot of people who don't like Tom Cruise now, so if you are one of them, the only option to see a major summer movie this weekend is Poseidon. It might not have any big draws but it doesn't have any big repulses either.

Tom Cruise's star power has dimmed in the eyes of the public, especially women, Reuters reports, citing a USA Today/Gallup poll out Wednesday.

Just 35 percent of adults surveyed last weekend said they had a favorable opinion of Cruise; 51 percent had an unfavorable opinion. And Cruise's popularity with women experienced the sharpest drop, according to the poll, from a 56 percent favorable rating last year to 35 percent now.


Tom's unfavorable rating

edit, early friday: I suppose I should have a prediction after all this talk, 35/110. While it might look cheesy, the budget is on the screen, it is a popular genre, and looks like it will be female-friendly unlike many typical summer movies. If it wasn't for the tracking info I'd guess higher.


Last edited by A. G. on Fri May 12, 2006 8:00 am, edited 1 time in total.



Fri May 12, 2006 1:26 am
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loyalfromlondon
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23/62

Certainly not a summer blockbuster.

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Fri May 12, 2006 1:42 am
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The Thirteenth Floor
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Final: 21m/58m


Fri May 12, 2006 3:09 am
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The Thirteenth Floor
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Archie Gates wrote:
There's just a lot of people who don't like Tom Cruise now, so if you are one of them, the only option to see a major summer movie this weekend is Poseidon. It might not have any big draws but it doesn't have any big repulses either.


I don't believe that people ever go to a movie by default. There are plenty of other things to do besides watch an over-budgeted movie.


Fri May 12, 2006 3:11 am
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College Boy Z

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Final prediction...

Opening Weekend: $24.8 million ($7,000 PTA)
Domestic Total: $69.4 million


Fri May 12, 2006 6:10 am
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Superfreak
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lol watc this thing break 50 million. everybody seems to want this to bomb.

also dont forget


crap has been huge this year.


Fri May 12, 2006 7:13 am
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I am defying the tracking and betting lines and holding strong to my $40+ OW.


Fri May 12, 2006 7:16 am
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You must have big rats
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It will do a little better than many expect, but only a little. And that per default because I think that it is actually the summer already, but the only big flick out there is M:I-3, so Poseidon will be able to attract audiences. It does have money shots and it did get enough theatres and screens. Looks like summer fun and its short running time will help. WoM will most likely be rather mediocre.

Final Predictions:

Openiong weekend - $27.9 million

Total gross - $74 million

Worldwide, it should make around $180-200 million. Rather bad for a film with a $150+ million budget.

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Fri May 12, 2006 7:37 am
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Extraordinary

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Dr. Lecter wrote:
WoM will most likely be rather mediocre.

What are you basing your WOM prediction on?


Fri May 12, 2006 11:32 am
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Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
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Final if it wasnt updated
27.0 million
70 million


Fri May 12, 2006 11:46 am
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Rolling Thunder wrote:
I am defying the tracking and betting lines and holding strong to my $40+ OW.


I am with you oh mighty Thunder. I also am positive WOM will drive this past $100 million.


Fri May 12, 2006 11:47 am
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Extraordinary

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20/55.

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Fri May 12, 2006 12:34 pm
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Post Abandon Ship
I now see Poseidon tanking bad, with a $20M OW likely. Abandon ship!


Fri May 12, 2006 12:55 pm
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Post Re: Abandon Ship
Rolling Thunder wrote:
I now see Poseidon tanking bad, with a $20M OW likely. Abandon ship!


why?

am I the only left? :unsure:


Fri May 12, 2006 1:14 pm
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I plotted the available 10PM showings on a map and realized that my analysis was not congruent with the rest of the nation. Plus, there was apparently a memo sent to theaters that Poseidon may not make its initial $21M tracking, and that couldn't be good.


Fri May 12, 2006 1:18 pm
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$33.8m for a total of $93.1m.

Was fully aware of tracking, but hey, screw those. :-)


Fri May 12, 2006 1:24 pm
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Rolling Thunder wrote:
I plotted the available 10PM showings on a map and realized that my analysis was not congruent with the rest of the nation. Plus, there was apparently a memo sent to theaters that Poseidon may not make its initial $21M tracking, and that couldn't be good.


what if they are down playing it so that insane expectations are lowered and then the movie will be considered a surprise hit.

I thought it was way more entertaining than MI3. So if anyone asks me which movie they should see, I would say Poseidon.,


Fri May 12, 2006 1:35 pm
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child of the 80's
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What's the lowest derby prediction for Poseidon? 20 mil?


Fri May 12, 2006 1:36 pm
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College Boy Z

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excel wrote:
lol watc this thing break 50 million. everybody seems to want this to bomb.

also dont forget


crap has been huge this year.


Um, I really doubt that's it. It's one of my most anticipated of the year, but I'm not going to act blind and pretend that the film isn't in deep trouble in terms of box-office. I'll be shocked if it tops $35 million this weekend.


Fri May 12, 2006 3:09 pm
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