yeah something wrong with front page..

60 now

User Reviews - "Not available"

Looks like there will be no tracking today.

Incredibles 125 +65 (User Reviews)(No info still on Yahoo Users)

I clicked for my grade but it never saved the info. So I don't know what is going on.

Well I didn't check earlier this morning but here are the totals now:

The Incredibles: 1743 (A-)
Alfie: 263 (B-)

Maybe some of the vets can guess what it ended at yesterday based on how well openers typically do on Sat. mornings but based on my limited knowledge of Sat. morning behaviour i'd say we might be looking at 1400-1500 for The Incredibles and 220-240 for Alfie.

That sounds right. 20M fit right in with The Incredibles, and I'd have projected lower for Alfie than its actual Friday numbers, but the ratio of 110 is understandable considering its audience.

Hopefully Yahoo will actually work tomorrow for Polar Express. This one should be predictable. It's released on Wednesday, and it isn't as saturated as Shrek 2(or The Incredibles or Shark Tale for that matter), but it's not a sequal either, so a standard ratio of 80-100 should apply.

The Wednesday opening should increase the ratio, but many people are off for the day, so the effect won't be as great as it otherwise would have been. I'll go with 70-90.

I certainly hope that yahoo will work!

At least the first user-written review for Polar Express is a good clean one.

Polar Express 5, +5, A-

Polar Express 5, +0, A-

These numbers, and those for Saturday show that were was something generally wrong at Yahoo this Friday. All the films actually declined from Thursday. Meanwhile, Saturday had an inflated number of reviews. This suggests that throughout this past Friday only a fraction of the reviews were being added. Most of them were not added until Saturday. I remember something similar on Spiderman's opening day. However, that problem was fixed by the afternoon rather then the next day as was the case here.

Friday 11/5
Beginning of Day End of Day Daily Total
1 ) The Grudge 16646 16827 181
2 ) Saw 4441 4575 134
3 ) Ray 3883 3973 90
4 ) Team America: World Police 10425 10501 76
5 ) Shark Tale 13169 13239 70
6 ) Friday Night Lights 8055 8112 57
7 ) Ladder 49 9122 9161 39
8 ) Surviving Christmas 2380 2416 36
9 ) Taxi 5561 5593 32
10 ) Shall We Dance? 4280 4299 19
11 ) Birth 503 515 12

Previous Day Daily Increase/Decrease
The Grudge 355 -49.01%
Saw 291 -53.95%
Ray 219 -58.90%
Team America: World Police 124 -38.71%
Shark Tale 85 -17.65%
Friday Night Lights 92 -38.04%
Ladder 49 58 -32.76%
Surviving Christmas 52 -30.77%
Taxi 54 -40.74%
Shall We Dance? 56 -66.07%
Birth 33 -63.64%

7 days eariler Weekly Increase/Decrease
Friday Night Lights 153 -62.75%
Team America: World Police 218 -65.14%
Shark Tale 202 -65.35%
Surviving Christmas 118 -69.49%
Ladder 49 134 -70.90%
Taxi 117 -72.65%
The Grudge 801 -77.40%
Saw 863 -84.47%
Birth 83 -85.54%
Shall We Dance? 148 -87.16%
Ray 797 -88.71%

Saturday 11/6
Beginning of Day End of Day Daily Total
1 ) The Grudge 16827 18706 1879
2 ) Saw 4575 5897 1322
3 ) Ray 3973 5061 1088
4 ) Shark Tale 13239 13681 442
5 ) Team America: World Police 10501 10845 344
6 ) Shall We Dance? 4299 4615 316
7 ) Friday Night Lights 8112 8424 312
8 ) Ladder 49 9161 9438 277
9 ) Surviving Christmas 2416 2631 215
10 ) Taxi 5593 5792 199
11 ) Birth 515 628 113

Previous Day Daily Increase/Decrease
The Grudge 181 938.12%
Saw 134 886.57%
Ray 90 1108.89%
Shark Tale 70 531.43%
Team America: World Police 76 352.63%
Shall We Dance? 19 1563.16%
Friday Night Lights 57 447.37%
Ladder 49 39 610.26%
Surviving Christmas 36 497.22%
Taxi 32 521.88%
Birth 12 841.67%

7 days eariler Weekly Increase/Decrease
Shall We Dance? 130 143.08%
Surviving Christmas 99 117.17%
The Grudge 872 115.48%
Friday Night Lights 150 108.00%
Ladder 49 138 100.72%
Shark Tale 240 84.17%
Taxi 117 70.09%
Team America: World Police 220 56.36%
Saw 897 47.38%
Ray 857 26.95%
Birth 106 6.60%

I missed Sunday night so, I don't have any numbers for either Sunday or Monday.

Tuesday 11/9
Beginning of Day End of Day Daily Total
1 ) The Incredibles 7856 8589 733
2 ) The Grudge 19699 20003 304
3 ) Saw 6763 7013 250
4 ) Ray 5917 6150 233
5 ) Team America: World Police 11202 11315 113
6 ) Alfie 1033 1145 112
7 ) Friday Night Lights 8657 8763 106
8 ) Shark Tale 13999 14101 102
9 ) Shall We Dance? 4857 4933 76
10 ) Ladder 49 9626 9695 69
11 ) Taxi 5890 5927 37
12 ) Surviving Christmas 2746 2781 35
13 ) Birth 715 746 31

7 days eariler Weekly Increase/Decrease
Friday Night Lights 114 -7.02%
Shall We Dance? 84 -9.52%
Team America: World Police 146 -22.60%
Ladder 49 91 -24.18%
Ray 347 -32.85%
Birth 47 -34.04%
Shark Tale 157 -35.03%
Saw 424 -41.04%
The Grudge 580 -47.59%
Surviving Christmas 80 -56.25%
Taxi 90 -58.89%

Polar Express 10, +5, A-

Polar Express 15, +5, B+

4 hours update:

Polar Express 48, +33, B+

Decent grade so far

Polar Express 58, +10, B+

By comparison, Shrek 2 had 134 at 7:30am update and increased 61 the next hour, but that's summer, so I expect Polar Express to increase at a much smaller rate than Shrek 2 during the day. The early projection is 300-350, and that would translate to $3.5-4M. Getting 1/3 of what Shrek 2 had on its opening Wednesday will be pretty good since this is not summer, and Thursday-to-Friday increase should be even higher.

Polar Express 65, +7, B

Polar Express 97, +32, B

I think the increase heading into the weekend will be very weak. Last year Elf got 5.7 on Veterans Day (Tuesday) and 7.3 on the following Friday while Brother Bear earned 3.8 on Veterans Day and 2.5 on the following Friday. Two years ago The Santa Clause 2 got 4.9 on Veterans Day (Monday) and 3.6 on the following Friday, although that was against Harry Potter.

I think The Polar Express will likely decline or at most have a slight increase from Thursday to Friday.

I've had trouble getting into the thread. Anyway, the past three hours:

Polar Express 108, +11, B

Polar Express 138, +30, B- (Down)

Polar Express 156, +18, B (Up)

The trend had been for the grade to drop. So, I'm guessing it will go back to B- and stay there or go even lower. I'm suprised since I expected this to have great WOM. Perhaps it's the result of the lack of comedy, which seems essential for a successful family film.

Polar Express 188, +32, B