wrongturn687 wrote:
It only grossed 127mill domestic a number Sherlock should easily double by the end of this week.
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| Author: | MikeQ. [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 2:40 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
Tuesday Actuals: http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?s ... -29&p=.htm Peace, Mike |
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| Author: | Libs [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 3:09 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
More from BOM: 1 AVATAR $18,290,628 -5.8% $250,419,951 2 ALVIN & THE CHIPMUNKS: THE SQUEAKQUEL $12,532,035 +3.6% $100,217,975 3 SHERLOCK HOLMES $10,240,000 -8.5% $83,820,000 4 IT'S COMPLICATED $4,273,105 No Change $30,646,685 THE BLIND SIDE $2,980,000 +6% $189,917,000 UP IN THE AIR $2,226,000 -1.7% $28,528,000 INVICTUS $870,000 +1.8% $24,745,000 http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?s ... -29&p=.htm |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 4:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
The Princess and the Frog is looking good for an increase this weekend. I feel last weekend was kind of scramble and fragmented with so many new wide releases, while this week people will be gravitizing toward more well-received ones with no openers. So Sherlock Holmes will likely suffer while Avatar will benefit, for example, and the well-received ones which also faced direct competition, like TPATF, will benefit the most. |
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| Author: | Harry Warden [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 4:29 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
xiayun wrote: The Princess and the Frog is looking good for an increase this weekend. I feel last weekend was kind of scramble and fragmented with so many new wide releases, while this week people will be gravitizing toward more well-received ones with no openers. So Sherlock Holmes will likely suffer while Avatar will benefit, for example, and the well-received ones which also faced direct competition, like TPATF, will benefit the most. So it's pretty much confirmed that Holmes is already or will be suffering from poor word-of-mouth? |
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| Author: | BJ [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 4:32 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
Harry Warden wrote: xiayun wrote: The Princess and the Frog is looking good for an increase this weekend. I feel last weekend was kind of scramble and fragmented with so many new wide releases, while this week people will be gravitizing toward more well-received ones with no openers. So Sherlock Holmes will likely suffer while Avatar will benefit, for example, and the well-received ones which also faced direct competition, like TPATF, will benefit the most. So it's pretty much confirmed that Holmes is already or will be suffering from poor word-of-mouth? i would think more along the lines of polarized, there is some h8te out there. |
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| Author: | Bryan_smith [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 4:35 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
I saw Holmes yesterday. It was alright, but far from great. I don't think it has poor word of mouth so much as "meh". It sets up the sequel perfectly though, and it's already done well enough to warrent one, even if it finishes at 150 domestic |
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| Author: | Dil [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 5:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
Are the drops for Holmes really that bad ? I mean looking up how other big adult oriented action films have played like the last Bourne flick and even QOS it's still playing alot stronger than those movies during there weekdays. Both also opened alot bigger than Holmes. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 5:12 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
wrongturn687 wrote: Are the drops for Holmes really that bad ? I mean looking up how other big adult oriented action films have played like the last Bourne flick and even QOS it's still playing alot stronger than those movies during there weekdays. Both also opened alot bigger than Holmes. you are comparing movies released in different months. This is a christmas release. it started ahead of avatar and by its 5th day is barely making 1/2 what avatar made. It is probably looking at a big drop despite it being a new year weekend and next week will crash hard. However it still would be a big success as it should at least make 180M domestic and do well OS as well. |
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| Author: | Mandeep [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 5:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
SH could not have been released at a better time. Any other time I would imagine the film would have collapsed by its 2nd weekend. |
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| Author: | Dil [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 5:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
But why the comparison to Avatar in the first place ? Obviously that movie has better WOM, but it also had to do really well because of the huge effing budget. It's not like Holmes has to make 300mill to be a success. |
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| Author: | Harry Warden [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 5:31 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
wrongturn687 wrote: But why the comparison to Avatar in the first place ? Obviously that movie has better WOM, but it also had to do really well because of the huge effing budget. It's not like Holmes has to make 300mill to be a success. If the WOM is really mixed like it appears to be, making a sequel (which would surely have a larger budget because they usually do) wouldn't make sense because the box office would drop. If Guy Ritchie directs it, no way I'd see the sequel. |
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| Author: | BJ [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 7:16 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
Harry Warden wrote: wrongturn687 wrote: But why the comparison to Avatar in the first place ? Obviously that movie has better WOM, but it also had to do really well because of the huge effing budget. It's not like Holmes has to make 300mill to be a success. If the WOM is really mixed like it appears to be, making a sequel (which would surely have a larger budget because they usually do) wouldn't make sense because the box office would drop. If Guy Ritchie directs it, no way I'd see the sequel. haven't there been films with mixed WOM that got sequels before??? |
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| Author: | STEVE ROGERS [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 9:49 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
The real question is: Is Holmes really that bad or is AVATAR simply THAT good to where people are finding it easy to use this as a way to put Sherlock Holmes down???? If AVATAR weren't around, would Sherlock Holmes be performing better???? |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 9:53 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
wrongturn687 wrote: But why the comparison to Avatar in the first place ? Obviously that movie has better WOM, but it also had to do really well because of the huge effing budget. It's not like Holmes has to make 300mill to be a success. big budget alone does not make better movies. otherwise movies like awe/sm3/waterworld etc would be all time classics. we compare with avatar bcos both are pg13 movies released around the same time. its ok to not hold as well as avatar but its drop since its od is worse than norm for the season. anyway as i said earlier it is a success for the studio and that is enough for the sequel. |
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| Author: | O [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 9:55 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
Brad Pitt is rumored to be cast as the villain in Sherlock Holmes 2. If that was the case, mixed wom from the first film could probably be forgiven, as that would a huge boost to the follow up film... |
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| Author: | i.hope [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 10:10 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
Sherlock Holmes is comparable to Benjamin Button last year. Both are rated PG-13 and geared toward adult audiences. Benjamin Button saw some of the worst drops among the top 10 in weekdays this time. If Holmes follows the same pattern, it will fall another 8% tomorrow and 30 - 35% this weekend. |
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| Author: | O [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 10:21 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
I think Holmes is headed for a 40% + drop. Maybe that's just me though... In other news, December box office is now at $953,015,477! It will be the first $1 billion December ever! 8/12 of the months of 2009 will be the biggest ever. The only four that weren't were March, July, August and September. August 2009 was the #2 biggest ever, just $15 m away from #1. September 2009 was the #2 biggest ever, just $11 m away from #1. July 2009 was the #3 biggest ever. March 2009 was by far the biggest let down of the year. 5th biggest ever. |
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| Author: | Dil [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 10:29 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
Benjamin Button seems like a bad comparison to me. Considering it only played in 2,900 theatres and was 2 hours and 50min long. Also that movie cost 150mill to make and was expected to flop from the beginning. I thought it did alot better than expected eventhough it still wasn't much of a success. It only grossed 127mill domestic a number Sherlock should easily double by the end of this week. |
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| Author: | Lotan [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 10:44 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
wrongturn687 wrote: It only grossed 127mill domestic a number Sherlock should easily double by the end of this week.
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| Author: | BJ [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 10:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
Lotan wrote: wrongturn687 wrote: It only grossed 127mill domestic a number Sherlock should easily double by the end of this week. 
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| Author: | Dil [ Wed Dec 30, 2009 10:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Tuesday Numbers (Top 3) |
I'm expecting Sherlock to pull in atleast 140mill by Sunday, but it would have to do 40M this weekend right ? 
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