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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Jurassic Park was sold on the fact it had dinosaurs, not that it was based on a book or was directed by Spielberg.
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| Fri Jul 07, 2006 1:21 pm |
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Heinrich Himmler
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 5:17 pm
Posts: 2716
Location: Berlin, Germania
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but there were certainly a lot of people aware of the fact that it was based on a popular book, and that it was directed by spielberg. i think spielbergs name easily sells itself.
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| Fri Jul 07, 2006 1:23 pm |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm
Posts: 6152
Location: New York
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I believe it is fair to say that any original film that breaks the opening weekend record already has a fanbase of sorts or lots of anticipation.
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| Fri Jul 07, 2006 1:26 pm |
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choubachou
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 1796
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I think PotC2 has a good shot at $400M, but it won't reach Shrek 2. I really don't expect legs that great, and the opening won't top $130M.
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| Fri Jul 07, 2006 4:13 pm |
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insomniacdude
I just lost the game
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:00 pm
Posts: 5868
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The Dark Shape wrote: DP07 wrote: Jurassic Park - Sequel decreased over 35% And that's the most comparable film, because Jurassic Park was in and of itself a blockbuster original. Shrek is just as good of a comparison, if not better, seeing as how Shrek and it's sequel are both part of the same era of the BO.
You only think Jurassic Park is the best comparison because you think the sequel will fall. _________________
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| Fri Jul 07, 2006 4:29 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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insomniacdude wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: DP07 wrote: Jurassic Park - Sequel decreased over 35% And that's the most comparable film, because Jurassic Park was in and of itself a blockbuster original. Shrek is just as good of a comparison, if not better, seeing as how Shrek and it's sequel are both part of the same era of the BO. You only think Jurassic Park is the best comparison because you think the sequel will fall. I think he predicted $330 million for Pirates. Heh.
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| Fri Jul 07, 2006 4:33 pm |
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insomniacdude
I just lost the game
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:00 pm
Posts: 5868
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Zingaling wrote: insomniacdude wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: DP07 wrote: Jurassic Park - Sequel decreased over 35% And that's the most comparable film, because Jurassic Park was in and of itself a blockbuster original. Shrek is just as good of a comparison, if not better, seeing as how Shrek and it's sequel are both part of the same era of the BO. You only think Jurassic Park is the best comparison because you think the sequel will fall. I think he predicted $330 million for Pirates. Heh.  _________________
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| Fri Jul 07, 2006 4:34 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Joseba B-Loki wrote: but there were certainly a lot of people aware of the fact that it was based on a popular book, and that it was directed by spielberg. i think spielbergs name easily sells itself. Um, Dark Shape is right. People went for DINOSAURS. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Jul 07, 2006 5:35 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Joseba B-Loki wrote: but there were certainly a lot of people aware of the fact that it was based on a popular book, and that it was directed by spielberg. i think spielbergs name easily sells itself. Um, Dark Shape is right. People went for DINOSAURS. People went for all those reasons, but a film that breaks the weekend record isn't going to grow on DVD.
And, oh right, they didn't have DVDs back then. 
I have most of the data but in any case it proves that sequels have done far better in the past 5 years then they did in the 90s.
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| Fri Jul 07, 2006 5:41 pm |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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Yeah they went for Dinosaurs but the book was a #1 best seller in hardback and paperback. So was Jaws, a massive best seller book back in the 70s. Any decently made movie based on Jaws or JP was going to do ok, just like with other big novels like The Firm or Da Vinci Code. Of course Spielberg did such a good job of both that they did more than expected.
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| Fri Jul 07, 2006 5:42 pm |
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bluesealee
Hatchling
Joined: Fri Mar 17, 2006 3:04 am
Posts: 16
Location: Seattle
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Although I still don't quite believe this, but...It looks like POTC2 really is going to smash Shrek2's opening weekend.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 12:26 am |
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Spidey
Teenage Dream
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:13 pm
Posts: 10678
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I doubt POTC2 will beat Shrek 2 in total, but in opening weekend it looks like POTC2 will beat Shrek 2.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:31 am |
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Spidey
Teenage Dream
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:13 pm
Posts: 10678
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I doubt POTC2 will beat Shrek 2 in total, but in opening weekend it looks like POTC2 will beat Shrek 2.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:31 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40598
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I'm pretty sure it won't beat Shrek 2 at this point too, actually. It may open to like 140 mil+, but then it'll drop like a rock. I see it landing right around Sith, Spider-man 2, and Return of the King, that 370-380 mil range. That seems like the oppurtune blockbuster sequel landing point, the friendly crowd. Maybe it can gain an upper leg on them and reach 390-400 mil. But it won't reach Titanic, Star Wars, or Shrek 2, IMO.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 3:06 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
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yeah, i agree. sorry guys. no 400 million here.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 3:11 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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 It's a lock to beat it at this point.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 3:11 am |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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Lock? You've lost it. _________________
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 3:15 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
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dpo would oyu kill yourself if it only got say...35 million?
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 3:16 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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excel wrote: dpo would oyu kill yourself if it only got say...35 million? Sure, why not?
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 3:18 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
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because youd be dead (??????????????)
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 3:20 am |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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Excel, it made $35 million seven hours ago.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 3:21 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
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prove it.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 3:22 am |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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Umm 100 crowd reports seven hours ago* $100,000 (per crowd report) +$25,000,000 (theaters not mention in crowd reports) = $35 million
 _________________
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 3:27 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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excel, it's doing better at every single theater in the country then X3. I think it's quite obvious that 35m is beyond impossible.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 3:29 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
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Yeh i know i was just saying yeh know.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 3:33 am |
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