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Ghostooze
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm
Posts: 1406
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Joe wrote: Everyone saying The Hills Have Eyes lacks appeal must have forgot that the TCM remake made near 30 million OW while looking very similar to this film. Horror films always have appeal. Has anybody mentioned Dawn of the Dead yet? This remind me of that exactly.... 
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| Mon Mar 06, 2006 1:13 am |
 
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Tracking:
Quote: REEL SOURCE:
FAILURE TO LAUNCH: 14 MILLION
THE SHAGGY DOG: 28 MILLION
HILLS HAVE EYES: 17 MILLION
LIBERTINE: 3 MILLION
MTC:
FAILURE TO LAUNCH: 21 MILLION
THE SHAGGY DOG: 18 MILLION
HILLS HAVE EYES: 16 MILLION
LIBERTINE: 2.5 MILLION
FUTURE REEL SOURCE:
V FOR VENDETTA: 27 MILLION (FLAT, I THINK)
INSIDE MAN: 18 MILLION (DEBUT)
ICE AGE 2: 47 MILLION (DEBUT)
SHE'S THE MAN: 10 MILLION (+?)
STAY ALIVE: 13 MILLION (+?) Hmm.
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| Mon Mar 06, 2006 9:34 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40610
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Nice to see Stay Alive tracking decently.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Mon Mar 06, 2006 9:44 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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That's low for Inside Man. We all know Washington consistently opens film to $20M (except for Out of Time and limited release Antwone Fisher in last six years). And adding Jodie Foster, Clive Owen, and Spike Lee, $25M seems safe to me.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Mon Mar 06, 2006 9:48 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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I don't know if Ice Age 2 could get to $200 million with a $47 million debut. It would have to have fantastic legs like the first, which is unlikely with all the family films being released after it.
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| Mon Mar 06, 2006 11:40 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40610
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It'll open to more than 47 mil. Definitley. I can't see it opening to less than Madagascar and Shark Tale 50 mil+. Both of those were a) Touted as crap early on, b) Had rough competition, c) Weren't as kid-friendly as IA2, and d) Didn't have a massive 1st movie's popularity and fanbase. Now that Doogal broke the ice of a kid film doing badly, Ice Age 2 can sweep in an kill. I think 70 mil+ is not out of the question.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Tue Mar 07, 2006 12:00 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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Seems about right for THHE and every other of this week's openers. Shaggy looks to be big. Piss poor for The Libertine, as expected.
High for Stay Alive. Doubt it makes more than 8 million opening when all is said and done.
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| Tue Mar 07, 2006 1:31 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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I'm gonna go against the grain from all the predictions for HILLS HAVE EYES and say this will make 25 Million this weekend..
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| Tue Mar 07, 2006 5:44 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Shark Tale was successful because of the lack of competition, not rough competition. It was the only kids movie released between the end of August and the beginning of November.
But Ice Age should easily break $50 million.
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| Tue Mar 07, 2006 10:47 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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| Tue Mar 07, 2006 2:19 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40610
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Oh yeah, I must've been thinking of just Madagascar when I wrote that.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Tue Mar 07, 2006 3:42 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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I don't think it can do 25 Million. It doesn't seem to have enough advertising. The one that has the most is easily FAILURE TO LAUNCH. I've seen millions of spots for it. I think it should do around what HOW TO LOSE A GUY did. Anyway, I think HILLS will have pretty decent legs for a horror movie, meaning I'm thinking it will drop under 50% its second weekend. WOM should be strong enough.
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| Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:38 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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MTC has Failure to Launch at $21M?
Maybe I'm actually underpredicting a chick flick for once.
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| Tue Mar 07, 2006 10:46 pm |
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FILMO
The Original
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am
Posts: 9808
Location: Suisse
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Hills:22
High but can be done.
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| Tue Mar 07, 2006 10:56 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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I saw like three TV spots in a row (seriously, one after the other) during the first commercial break of SOUTH PARK tonight. That's because tonight's episode was brought to us by THE HILLS HAVE EYES  . I thought they were cool but too fast and they don't really show the plot. I hear they are all like this, therefore I think I might lower my prediction to 17 Million.
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| Wed Mar 08, 2006 1:29 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40610
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I still think Failure to Launch will do disappointing. No draws with Matthew or Sarah, the marketplace has been producing at least one underperformer a weekend, I don't think this the oppurtune time for a romantic comedy, and it just doesn't look that appealing. I'm thinking about 14 mil for now.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Wed Mar 08, 2006 1:36 am |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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i have NO CLUE why the hell they moved the opening for Failure to launch, it should of been just perfect for Valentines Day! 
not a smart move IMO, Did it even have any competition?!?!
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| Wed Mar 08, 2006 2:13 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
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ya...eightbelow,pink panther...
shaggy-26
hills-21
failure-17
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| Wed Mar 08, 2006 8:09 am |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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The tabloids and newspapers are ripping FAILURE TO LAUNCH apart here in the UK, because apparently, Matthew hates SJP. And there is no chemistry whatsoever in the movie, because they disliked each other so much.
When asked what he thought of her, Matthew replied "Peculiar"....hmmm. It'll fall flat on it's face without chemistry thats for sure. Weak trailer anyway.
The Hills Have Eyes is guaranteed Number 1 in the UK, as the market is dead, and reviews and ads are fantastic here.
I wonder how well this is going to open. Any high teens figure is good enough. I'm hoping for over $20M. It looks fabulous. Can't wait until friday to see it!
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| Wed Mar 08, 2006 5:28 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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I'm revising my prediction for THE HILLS HAVE EYES from 25 Million for the weekend to 5 Million based on a review I read where there is a Brutal Rape Scene and quite frankly, it sounds to me based on reading the review that it was thrown in for shock factor more than being a benefit for the story and that alone is disturbing.. Fuc* this..
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| Thu Mar 09, 2006 1:06 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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BKB_The_Man wrote: I'm revising my prediction for THE HILLS HAVE EYES from 25 Million for the weekend to 5 Million based on a review I read where there is a Brutal Rape Scene and quite frankly, it sounds to me based on reading the review that it was thrown in for shock factor more than being a benefit for the story and that alone is disturbing.. Fuc* this.. Hills will make 5 mil on Friday ALONE... If anything a scene like that will hurt it's overall gross... not the OW...
Pwned! Twice in one night!!! _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Thu Mar 09, 2006 1:08 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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Rape? Pfft. That's nothing as I doubt it comes anywhere close to the one in Irreversible.
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| Thu Mar 09, 2006 1:27 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40610
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Failure to Launch is #5 on Moviefone.
#1 is She's the Man...odd.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Thu Mar 09, 2006 1:32 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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2619 theaters for The Hills Have Eyes. Brokeback Mountain is losing a bunch. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Thu Mar 09, 2006 1:42 am |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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BKB_The_Man wrote: I'm revising my prediction for THE HILLS HAVE EYES from 25 Million for the weekend to 5 Million based on a review I read where there is a Brutal Rape Scene and quite frankly, it sounds to me based on reading the review that it was thrown in for shock factor more than being a benefit for the story and that alone is disturbing.. Fuc* this.. thats a pretty big change there, just because its getting bad reviews doesnt mean its going to do VERY bad on its opening weekend like Chip said it will effect its overrall gross and it will prolly make $5M on friday
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| Thu Mar 09, 2006 1:45 am |
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