The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release)
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatanic's Friday
BJs Prediction: 16.50m +170% Revatar - 15.12m +148% Soagg - 15.0m +147% Chip Minkington - 14.8m +144%
Average: 15.36m +151%
you have until 10pm eastern, post your prediction for a chance at one day of predicting glory.
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 5:49 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
47.5
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 5:50 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
My Derby entry: 56 million
Breakdown: Friday 15.5 (+155%) Saturday 24.3 (+56%) Sunday 15.8 (-35%)
Wkd: 55.6
Last edited by i.hope on Fri Jan 08, 2010 5:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 5:51 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6786
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
15m Friday. Good news is I am already seeing 3d sellouts in NYC for shows around 7PM. it should have a solid increase today. http://www.fandango.com/regalunionsquar ... heaterpagehttp://www.fandango.com/amcloewslincoln ... heaterpage
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
Last edited by Keyser Söze on Fri Jan 08, 2010 5:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 5:51 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
15m = the minimum  Avatar officially has every 3-D screen anchorage has to offer as of today 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 5:52 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
i.hope wrote: My Derby entry: 56 million
Breakdown: Friday 15.80 (+160%) Saturday 24.56 (+55%) Sunday 16.21 (-34%)
Wkd: 56.57 nice breakdown, BJ likes 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 5:54 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Rank | Days in Release | Day | % Change | Domestic Total | Theater Average | Theater Count | Day, Month and Year |
1 | Opening Day | $26,752,099 | New | $26,752,099 | $7,750 | 3,452 | Friday, December 18, 2009 |
1 | 2nd Day | $25,529,036 | -4.6% | $52,281,135 | $7,395 | 3,452 | Saturday, December 19, 2009 |
1 | 3rd Day | $24,744,346 | -3.1% | $77,025,481 | $7,168 | 3,452 | Sunday, December 20, 2009 |
1 | 4th Day | $16,385,820 | -33.8% | $93,411,301 | $4,747 | 3,452 | Monday, December 21, 2009 |
1 | 5th Day | $16,086,461 | -1.6% | $109,497,762 | $4,660 | 3,452 | Tuesday, December 22, 2009 |
2 | 6th Day | $16,445,291 | +2.2% | $125,943,053 | $4,764 | 3,452 | Wednesday, December 23, 2009 |
1 | 7th Day | $11,150,998 | -32.2% | $137,122,136 | $3,230 | 3,452 | Thursday, December 24, 2009 |
2 | 8th Day | $23,095,046 | +107.1% | -13.7% | $160,189,097 | $6,683 | 3,456 | Friday, December 25, 2009 |
1 | 9th Day | $28,274,406 | +22.4% | +10.8% | $188,463,503 | $8,181 | 3,456 | Saturday, December 26, 2009 |
1 | 10th Day | $24,247,681 | -14.2% | -2% | $212,711,184 | $7,016 | 3,456 | Sunday, December 27, 2009 |
1 | 11th Day | $19,418,139 | -19.9% | +18.5% | $232,129,323 | $5,619 | 3,456 | Monday, December 28, 2009 |
1 | 12th Day | $18,290,628 | -5.8% | +13.7% | $250,419,951 | $5,292 | 3,456 | Tuesday, December 29, 2009 |
1 | 13th Day | $18,466,123 | +1.0% | +12.3% | $268,886,074 | $5,343 | 3,456 | Wednesday, December 30, 2009 |
1 | 14th Day | $14,738,136 | -20.2% | +32.2% | $283,624,210 | $4,265 | 3,456 | Thursday, December 31, 2009 |
1 | 15th Day | $25,274,008 | +71.5% | +9.4% | $308,898,218 | $7,303 | 3,461 | Friday, January 1, 2010 |
1 | 16th Day | $25,835,551 | +2.2% | -8.6% | $334,733,769 | $7,465 | 3,461 | Saturday, January 2, 2010 |
1 | 17th Day | $17,381,129 | -32.7% | -28.3% | $352,114,898 | $5,022 | 3,461 | Sunday, January 3, 2010 |
1 | 18th Day | $8,094,554 | -53.4% | -58.3% | $360,209,452 | $2,339 | 3,461 | Monday, January 4, 2010 |
1 | 19th Day | $7,327,233 | -9.4% | -59.9% | $367,536,685 | $2,117 | 3,461 | Tuesday, January 5, 2010 |
1 | 20th Day | $6,909,167 | -5.7% | -62.6% | $374,445,852 | $1,996 | 3,461 | Wednesday, January 6, 2010 |
1 | 21st Day | $6,094,445 | -11.8% | -58.6% | $380,540,297 | $1,761 | 3,461 | Thursday, January 7, 2010 |
_________________The Force Awakens
Last edited by BJ on Fri Jan 08, 2010 5:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 5:54 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: i.hope wrote: My Derby entry: 56 million
Breakdown: Friday 15.80 (+160%) Saturday 24.56 (+55%) Sunday 16.21 (-34%)
Wkd: 56.57 nice breakdown, BJ likes  Changed it but not much is changed really My Derby entry: 56 million Breakdown: Friday 15.5 (+155%) Saturday 24.3 (+56%) Sunday 15.8 (-35%) Wkd: 55.6
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 5:57 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Rank | Wks in Release | Wknd | % Change | Domestic Total | Theater Average | Theater Count | Day, Month and Year |
1 | Opening Wk | $137,122,136 | New | $137,122,136 | $39,723 | 3,452 | December 18-24, 2009 |
1 | 2nd Wk | $146,530,209 | +6.9% | $283,624,210 | $42,399 | 3,456 | +4 | December 25-31, 2009 |
1 | 3rd Wk | $96,916,087 | -33.9% | $380,540,297 | $28,002 | 3,461 | +5 | January 1-7, 2010 |
Better drop wk to wk than Titanic.
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:05 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatanic's Friday
BJs Prediction: 16.50m +170% i.hope - 15.5m +154% Revatar - 15.12m +148% Keyser Soze - 15m +147% Soagg - 15.0m +147% Chip Minkington - 14.8m +144%
Average: 15.36m +151%
you have until 10pm eastern, post your prediction for a chance at one day of predicting glory.
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:08 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: Better drop wk to wk than Titanic. Mostly due to school holidays. Avatar is more kid-friendly than Titanic thus it benefits more from the holidays.
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:11 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatanic's 4th Wknd
BJs Prediction: 60m -12% i.hope - 55.6m -18% BennyBlanco - 54.0m -21% Captain_Cold - 51.3m -25% Jmovies - 51m -25% Mesjarch - 50.895m -25% Dr. Lecter - 50.80m -25% Chip Munkington - 50.1m -26% Saogg - 49.5m -27% Proud Ryu - 49m -28% Corpse - 47.5m -30% Price - 47m -31% Revatar - 46.4m -32% MG Casey - 42.0m -38% Enki - 41,117,030m -39%
Average: 49.75m -27%
you have until Friday, 10pm eastern, get em in eh
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:13 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
i.hope wrote: BJ wrote: Better drop wk to wk than Titanic. Mostly due to school holidays. Avatar is more kid-friendly than Titanic thus it benefits more from the holidays. bilge, did you not watch shitmunks and frog tank day to day like any normal kids film while avatanic was in the stratosphere, even during the wknd its increase/decrease patten was nothing like a family film. The film is in a league of its own and only Titanic can compare.
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:14 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13056 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
$14,017,224 Friday $51,368,000 Weekend
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:23 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Yahoo Update:AvatarYahoo Users: A (30,319 ratings) / A- from critics#2 Top ratedUser reviews for Avatarenjoy 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:24 pm |
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Lotan
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Jun 05, 2006 5:25 pm Posts: 1222
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: Predict Avatanic's 4th Wknd
BJs Prediction: 60m -12% i.hope - 55.6m -18% BennyBlanco - 54.0m -21% Captain_Cold - 51.3m -25% Jmovies - 51m -25% Mesjarch - 50.895m -25% Dr. Lecter - 50.80m -25% Chip Munkington - 50.1m -26% Saogg - 49.5m -27% Proud Ryu - 49m -28% Corpse - 47.5m -30% Price - 47m -31% Revatar - 46.4m -32% MG Casey - 42.0m -38% Enki - 41,117,030m -39%
You haven't added me. How rude!
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:24 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
mark66 wrote: $14,017,224 Friday $51,368,000 Weekend friday = to low, IM = oustanding
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:24 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:25 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BOM Update:AvatarReader Rating: A- (3,297 votes)A's: 2,805 - 85.1% B's: 264 - 8.0% C's: 66 - 2.0% D's: 36 - 1.1% F's: 126 - 3.8% Top Rated #2 top rated from readers
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:27 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
RT Update:AvatarReviews: 241 Fresh/Rotten: 198 Fresh /43 Rotten Certified Fresh82% Fresh / 18% RottenAverage Rating: 7.4 / 10Cream of the CropReviews: 34Fresh/Rotten: 32 Fresh / 2 Rotten 94% Fresh / 6% RottenAverage Rating: 7.6 / 10 Its got 90% from the users with 7,520 fresh and 766 rotten, average grade is 8.6
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:29 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
i.hope wrote: BJ wrote: Better drop wk to wk than Titanic. Mostly due to school holidays. Avatar is more kid-friendly than Titanic thus it benefits more from the holidays. Umm? Then it should have dropped more this week than Titanic, due to it having an inflated last week.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:45 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Chip Munkington wrote: i.hope wrote: BJ wrote: Better drop wk to wk than Titanic. Mostly due to school holidays. Avatar is more kid-friendly than Titanic thus it benefits more from the holidays. Umm? Then it should have dropped more this week than Titanic, due to it having an inflated last week. 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:48 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Just for kicks here is a chart of the daily changes this week for films in wide release, sorted by the average percentile of daily changes (right most column). Percentiles for each day are in the green columns. I think it is notable because it shows that Avatar is playing very well to arthouse crowd. (LOL @ Alvin)
Title | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Ave |
Precious | -59.2% | 7.1% | 1.0% | -2.4% | 80.0% | 73.3% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 88.3% |
Nine | -58.7% | 13.6% | -11.0% | -10.9% | 86.6% | 93.3% | 40.0% | 46.6% | 66.6% |
Avatar | -53.4% | -9.5% | -5.7% | -11.8% | 93.3% | 40.0% | 73.3% | 40.0% | 61.7% |
Invictus | -60.4% | 1.5% | -4.9% | -12.6% | 60.0% | 66.6% | 86.6% | 33.3% | 61.6% |
The Twilight Saga: New Moon | -59.4% | -11.2% | -10.3% | -3.8% | 73.3% | 33.3% | 46.6% | 93.3% | 61.6% |
Up in the Air | -62.1% | 11.7% | -8.3% | -8.3% | 40.0% | 86.6% | 53.3% | 60.0% | 60.0% |
It's Complicated | -63.3% | 18.9% | -8.3% | -12.8% | 33.3% | 100.0% | 53.3% | 26.6% | 53.3% |
2012 | -61.0% | -12.4% | -5.4% | -8.4% | 53.3% | 26.6% | 80.0% | 53.3% | 53.3% |
Did You Hear About the Morgans? | -61.1% | 10.2% | -15.0% | -8.1% | 46.6% | 80.0% | 13.3% | 66.6% | 51.6% |
Brothers | -52.7% | -0.3% | -12.3% | -15.7% | 100.0% | 60.0% | 33.3% | 6.6% | 50.0% |
The Blind Side | -65.1% | -6.8% | -3.7% | -13.8% | 26.6% | 53.3% | 93.3% | 13.3% | 46.6% |
A Christmas Carol | -69.2% | -23.8% | -5.8% | -4.1% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 66.6% | 86.6% | 43.3% |
Old Dogs | -66.4% | -19.0% | -12.7% | -5.9% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 26.6% | 80.0% | 36.7% |
Sherlock Holmes | -60.4% | -7.2% | -14.2% | -17.3% | 60.0% | 46.6% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 31.7% |
The Princess and the Frog | -68.8% | -25.7% | -20.6% | -7.6% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 73.3% | 25.0% |
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel | -71.6% | -30.0% | -24.2% | -13.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 5.0% |
This table brought to you by Excel2BB Converter. Created by Krem for World of KJ
Last edited by Proud Ryu on Fri Jan 08, 2010 7:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:51 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Chip Munkington wrote: i.hope wrote: BJ wrote: Better drop wk to wk than Titanic. Mostly due to school holidays. Avatar is more kid-friendly than Titanic thus it benefits more from the holidays. Umm? Then it should have dropped more this week than Titanic, due to it having an inflated last week. Nah, if you looks at the calendar. Avatar's week 3 is from Jan 1 to Jan 7 while Titanic's from Jan 2 - Jan 8. Jan 1 - 4 are particularly kid-friendly this year as most schools are out.
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 7:00 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
?! Do you even know what you're saying? I will give you Jan 1... but when Titanic was released, kids had Jan 2-5 off as well.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 7:02 pm |
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