Dec 12th's giveaway for DS is a special book, 750k copies.
https://kimetsu.com/anime/news/?id=55776

Holiday is if I am not wrong is from 25th December to 12 th January hope demon slayer stay number one at least during that time.

The illustration cards for the first two giveaways were definitely nice, but this is even better!

At this rate, the final giveaway will be 500k..... is it quite small?

Nah. The second giveaway (of 1 million) wasn't reached until Wednesday or so, its fifth day. Assuming it does something like 450,000-500,000 admissions this upcoming weekend, 750,000 is a good number and should last until next Wednesday or so again. (Not to mention that while this book is likely small, producing a million or more of them so fast may have been difficult.)

Remember that they don't want so many out there that the demand for them lessens, thus lowering the more immediate positive impact they have for the film and theaters.

Here are my renewed predictions :

After his week 7 (11/28-12/04) : ¥28,193,056,050Bn ($268,7M) / 21,059,366 admissions

Week 8 (12/05-11) : ¥1,060,000,000Bn ($10,3M) / 760,580 admissions
Cumulative total : ¥29,253,056,050Bn ($279,0M) / 21,819,946 admissions

Week 9 (12/12-18) : ¥915,000,000Bn ($8,8M) / 675,000 admissions / -13,68%
Cumulative total : ¥30,168,056,050Bn ($287,8M) / 22,494,946 admissions

Week 10 (12/19-25) : ¥650,000,000Bn ($6,2M) / 450,000 admissions / -28,96%
Cumulative total : ¥30,818,056,050Bn ($294,0M) / 22,944,946 admissions

Week 11 (12/26-01/01) : ¥975,000,000Bn ($9,3M) / 675,000 admissions / +50,00%
Cumulative total : ¥31,793,056,050Bn ($303,3M) / 23,619,946 admissions

Week 12 (01/02-08) : ¥1,700,000,000Bn ($16,2M) / 1,200,000 admissions / +75,00%
Cumulative total : ¥33,493,056,050Bn ($319,5M) / 24,819,946 admissions

Week 13 (01/09-15) : ¥850,000,000Bn ($8,2M) / 600,000 admissions / -50%
Cumulative total : ¥34,343,056,050Bn ($327,7M) / 25,419,946 admissions

Week 14 (01/16-22) : ¥375,000,000Bn ($3,5M) / 275,000 admissions / -55%
Cumulative total : ¥35,193,056,050Bn ($331,2M) / 25,694,946 admissions

Week 15 (01/23-29) : ¥280,000,000Bn ($2,6M) / 210,000 admissions / -25%
Cumulative total : ¥35,473,056,050Bn ($333,8M) / 25,904,946 admissions

Rest : ¥1,075,000,000Bn ($10,1M) / 800,000 admissions

Final : ¥36,548,056,050Bn ($343,9M) / 26,704,946 admissions

I know i might have exaggerated with a 75% increase in new year week over christmas week, but hey who knows, Demon Slayer is so gigantic that an increase like this won't even shock me.

Personally, I was already looking at the forum at the beginning of 2019 and at the end of the year I registered because Frozen 2 was coming out (I had high expectations regarding this one, even if in the end it disappointed me a little) and I I was waiting to see what this 2nd installment would give at the Japanese box office so I decided to join and participate in the forum.

This is a great forum because you never leave a question unanswered and are there every day to analyze the Japanese box office, that's a good thing.

Been lurking this thread specifically (didn’t and still don’t really use anything else around here) since ~IW I guess. Found it from the weekly top 10 posts that get cross posted to BoxOfficeTheory, which I joined for Black Panther OW.

Registered just to answer

Never really had much to add, (pretty much everything I know about the market is from you), but I've been lurking since about Aladdin.

It's a fascinating market, and you do a great job of explaining it, (as much as that's possible). Great stuff, Corpse. Thanks!

P.S. If only someone had this kind of a handle on the South Korean market, I would probably be lurking there too

Welcome to the forum Manny81 . Please feel free to ask any of your questions/doubts here or any other topics/titles that you might be interested. You can also post your reviews in our "Everyone's A Critic" thread if you like.

Thanks!

Now that I finally made an account, I might just do that

Although this is where I lurk the most.

I've been around here since KnY Mugen Train had 10 billion yen.
I found this forum when I am searching for a site to have at least weekly updates to KnY success. And I found even better lmao

I was wondering where people were getting daily updates for the demon slayer movie and the fact that they were semi accurate intrigued me. So one internet diving session later, I stumbled here. I've been lurking since then until I joined recently.

I got to know abt WoKJ and Corpse on BoT, where usually people post what Corpse says. Since nothing is happening elsewhere, thought should cut the middleman and go directly where discussion is being done.

I have been coming to this forum quite regularly for a long time, out of "japan box office" google search.
Only registered recently though.

Thanks for the insanely useful data, Corpse.

I first found this forum (and BOT) in 2016 when Your Name. was released.
But by that time I was not much into cinema, just occacional, in fact Box office Mojo was still my main source for data, mostly MCU/Star Warfs stuff.

Was last year when finally became more interested in this, and began searching and collecting info from different markets, like a sort of hobby in my free time.
And of course it took this phenomenal record-breaking-beast to finally make me sign in....

LPLC: Your projections look reasonable. The holiday will throw projections off, either positively or negatively, since we can't really determine how it may perform over them, but the figures look good not knowing this.

Thanks for sharing how/why many of you joined here. Definitely appreciated, and more discussion is always welcomed. I may know a great deal regarding the Japan box-office specifically (and thanks for all the kind words), but the detailed discussions you all are providing on specific films (like Fate/Grand Order which I mostly just knew by name only) is very helpful, as is insight or details on external topics like manga and home video data and information.

Demon Slayer: Mugen Train - Daily Performance Tracker

10/16 - Fri.: ¥1,268,724,700 ($12.0 million) / 910,507
10/17 - Sat.: ¥1,701,723,350 ($16.2 million) / 1,270,234
10/18 - Sun.: ¥1,652,669,400 ($15.7 million) / 1,239,752
10/19 - Mon.: ¥735,000,000 ($7.0 million) / 545,000
10/20 - Tues.: ¥545,000,000 ($5.1 million) / 395,000
10/21 - Wed.: ¥635,000,000 ($6.0 million) / 505,000
10/22 - Thur.: ¥465,000,000 ($4.5 million) / 340,000
10/23 - Fri.: ¥700,000,000 ($6.7 million) / 510,000
10/24 - Sat.: ¥1,500,944,600 ($14.3 million) / 1,115,182
10/25 - Sun.: ¥1,540,504,150 ($14.7 million) / 1,157,654
10/26 - Mon.: ¥620,000,000 ($5.9 million) / 460,000
10/27 - Tues.: ¥410,000,000 ($3.9 million) / 300,000
10/28 - Wed.: ¥575,000,000 ($5.5 million) / 430,000
10/29 - Thur.: ¥390,000,000 ($3.7 million) / 285,000
10/30 - Fri.: ¥555,000,000 ($5.3 million) / 405,000
10/31 - Sat.: ¥1,212,312,550 ($11.6 million) / 887,893
11/01 - Sun.: ¥1,286,354,600 ($12.3 million) / 1,140,390 *Discount Day*
11/02 - Mon: ¥820,000,000 ($7.8 million) / 605,000 *Holiday Boosted*
11/03 - Tues.: ¥1,185,000,000 ($11.3 million) / 900,000 *Holiday*
11/04 - Wed.: ¥350,000,000 ($3.3 million) / 260,000
11/05 - Thur.: ¥230,000,000 ($2.2 million) / 170,000
11/06 - Fri.: ¥325,000,000 ($3.1 million) / 240,000
11/07 - Sat.: ¥863,827,750 ($8.3 million) / 628,614
11/08 - Sun.: ¥909,098,150 ($8.8 million) / 667,179
11/09 - Mon.: ¥315,000,000 ($3.0 million) / 230,000
11/10 - Tues.: ¥220,000,000 ($2.1 million) / 160,000
11/11 - Wed.: ¥295,000,000 ($2.8 million) / 230,000
11/12 - Thur.: ¥200,000,000 ($1.9 million) / 145,000
11/13 - Fri.: ¥310,000,000 ($3.0 million) / 225,000
11/14 - Sat.: ¥795,343,500 ($7.6 million) / 611,418
11/15 - Sun.: ¥726,313,550 ($6.9 million) / 535,986
11/16 - Mon.: ¥265,000,000 ($2.5 million) / 195,000
11/17 - Tues.: ¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 120,000
11/18 - Wed.: ¥240,000,000 ($2.3 million) / 185,000
11/19 - Thur.: ¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 120,000
11/20 - Fri.: ¥240,000,000 ($2.3 million) / 170,000
11/21 - Sat.: ¥439,606,550 ($4.2 million) / 314,726
11/22 - Sun.: ¥592,738,550 ($5.7 million) / 433,315
11/23 - Mon.: ¥460,110,250 ($4.4 million) / 357,741 *Holiday*
11/24 - Tues.: ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million) / 90,000
11/25 - Wed.: ¥160,000,000 ($1.5 million) / 120,000
11/26 - Thur.: ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million) / 85,000
11/27 - Fri.: ¥195,000,000 ($1.9 million) / 130,000
11/28 - Sat.: ¥556,443,300 ($5.3 million) / 392,017
11/29 - Sun: ¥448,060,450 ($4.3 million) / 320,031
11/30 - Mon.: ¥140,000,000 ($1.3 million) / 105,000
12/01 - Tues.: ¥170,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 145,000 *Discount Day*
12/02 - Wed.: ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million) /100,000
12/03 - Thur.: ¥x95,000,000 ($0.9 million) / x70,000
12/04 - Fri.: ¥145,000,000 ($1.4 million) / 105,000
12/05 - Sat.: ¥319,013,550 ($3.1 million) / 225,976
12/06 - Sun.: ¥336,505,700 ($3.2 million) / 239,874
12/07 - Mon.: ¥x95,000,000 ($0.9 million) / x70,000 *est.*
12/08 - Tues.: ¥x70,000,000 ($0.7 million) / x50,000 *est.*

54-Day Cumulative Total: ¥29,013,575,300 ($276.6 million) / 21,645,216

Note: Mon.-Fri. are estimates (excluding Holiday Mondays), therefore adding up each day won't equal the actual total.

Tuesday was down a ton versus last week due to the discount day of course, but I think it's a pretty good result on its own given its solid ~20% hold from Monday. Last Tuesday, if it wasn't a discount day, probably would have earned around ¥90/100 million, so this Tuesday would have seen a good ~25% drop or so in that situation.

It would be nice if this 9th weekend could surpass the 8th weekend as you predict, I would have more imagined a slight drop and something around $5.5M-$6M, but it's true that an increase for the first time is quite possible this weekend

An increase isn't guaranteed, of course, but one is doable and I believe it's more likely than not to occur this weekend. First giveaway weekend was down just 14%, and the second giveaway weekend was down even less at 3%, so with the lower numbers now, an increase is more achievable.

Yeah I see an increase finally happening this weekend.

It is down around 12% at this point in the day, compared to last Wednesday and 36% up from yesterday. Maybe this could be considered the first sign for an increase this weekend, or at the very least a sign for it staying flat.

Its Wednesday so I do not think that to be sign for the weekend. Weekends are behaving very differently for this movie due to giveaway effect.