I hope so. This film could save the Star Trek franchise

https://www.arclightcinemas.com/ArcLigh ... =Home-Page

The ArcLight in L.A. has sold out its first midnight show... (the one in the Cinerama Dome)

And so it begins DUM DUM DUM!

!!!!

That's ridiculous.

One problem with that Arclight showing is that the Arclight always sells out its shows. You may argue that it sold out this early but I dont know if most other movies sell their tickets this early in the stage

Perhaps, but it's still a possible indication of how other midnight shows could sell once they go on sale.

My main argument wasnt really that of how early presales go on sale but more to do with the equivalent of selling out the Hollywood Arclight is like getting a thumbs up from Gene Shalit

I dont understand you guys. This film will probably open to 90-95% of its potential (by that I mean itll open between 45-55) and you guys will be dissappointed. Star Trek 2 is where the real money will be.

I forsee something like this:

Friday: 19.5 Million (3.5 from Midnights)
Saturday: 20.8 Million (+30% from a midnightless Friday)
Sunday: 14 Million
Opening weekend: 54.3 Million
2nd Weekend: 33.6 Million
3rd Weekend: 19.5 Million (4-day = 23.7)
5th Weekend: 8.8 Million
6th Weekend: 5.6 Million
7th Weekend: 3.9 Million
8th Weekend: 2.7 Million
9th Weekend: 1.9 Million
^That totals 134. With weekdays its around 165.
So I forsee 54/175 for now; thats a 3.25 multiplier with some big competition.

This thing should have opened on a different date, that is for damn sure.

Im not quite convinced it will open to over 50 million unless Wolverine disappoints

umm I could be wrong, but I think that has been sold out for weeks. I was out there and looking at movies while in LA at the place, that was on march 16th I think, and it was already sold out.

http://www.variety.com/article/VR111800 ... id=13&cs=1

Variety reports that a sequel is set for Summer 2011...

and if the film fails to ignite on opening weekend, all that will simply go away.

I'm sure somewhere someone had hopes for Wild Wild West II as well.

Don't imagine the worst!

May Star Trek live long and prosper...

I think a sequel could suck, but if this lives up to its marketing, I would be there for the midnight.

The should just try with another TV show. There is yet a ST movie to be something more than average at best. Most of ST movies are bad.

First Contact rocks.

I knew I was forgetting something. Yeah, First Contact is really good. But my point stands for the rest of the movies.

The marketing for the new ST looks good, but that's just marketing. As a movie franchise, I'm wary of the quality.

How is this movie, in any way, related to the others? It's not. New blood. There's no precedent for judging the potential of this movie relative to any other release.

And, the previous movies have ranged from excellent (Khan) to great (FC, IV) to harmless (III,IV,VIII) to ambitious failures (TMP) to disasters (NEM, V). There's a range of hits and misses.

It would be like trying to judge BB before it came out against Batman&Robin, it just doesn't make sense.

Im sure test screenings are through the roof; st2 culd pull a tdk and get 100%+ more than the original.

^Considering that'd require making only ~86m$, isn't that a bit likely?

The challenge is to make 100% more... on opening weekend.

You don't reboot a franchise unless it's gone down the drain. This could be what BB was to B&R. Then again it could go the Superman Returns route and be a glorious bore.

Agreed.

If you knew anything about the chronology of the films I'd listed, you'd see that I pretty much said that. I think it's common knowledge that Nemesis sucked, that Insurrection was an overlong TV episode (but entertaining), and that anything before that is too far back to matter. Which is true. The last films don't compare to the downturn other franchises have seen, though - but that's very much my opinion (Jaws, anyone? yikes).

It's not a reboot, though...