So..... we can expect some good hold on the next mon-wed?

I don't know the answer to this, but based on the article, I'd presume it's typically 50%.

But films don't cost much to make in Japan. Demon Slayer only cost ¥500 million ($4/5 million), and that's usually the average for a film in the market. But most of the time a budget is close to the ¥300 million mark I believe. It's rare for a film to approach a budget of ¥1 billion or more.

The major exception here are the Studio Ghibli film since they're still made the old traditional way, resulting in them being in production for many years and end up being very costly, especially in their later years when it was taking 4/5-years to make one film and costing up to ¥5 billion to produce... All their films after Arrietty lost money, especially their last two, The Wind Rises and The Tale of Princess Kaguya (that one especially).

Probably. Just don't think a 20% drop is bad if that happens. I've seen you seem a bit dismissive of the ~20% drops this past week. We're talking fourth/fifth week DAILIES that are about on par with opening days/first Saturdays for most films.

Because if it keep dropping 20% every week from now on, then that is bad.... maybe can not reach 30B yen if that happen.

@Corpse, with this Saturday figure are the weekend's $14.8M still your predictions or have you revised them down? And how many admissions could Demon Slayer reach by tomorrow ?

Where do you get that idea? 20% drops from this point, if it would average that, gets it above ¥35 billion after awhile, much less ¥30 billion, and that's not even accounting for the holiday weekend next week or the 18-day New Year break next month. Its fifth week total is as high as Spirited Away's 11 week total and it's still outpacing it on a daily basis.

This is completely wrong. If it drops 20% weekly from here on out it would end with over ¥33B

Still probably about the same, maybe 1/2% less. Its admissions after Sunday will be around 17.3-17.5 million, depending on the actuals.

So today’s presale multiplier was fairly low in the end. Too bad, but makes sense with the promotion — next promotion weekend we’ll be able to compare to this one and get a better idea.

5th weekend won’t stay above Yo-Kai but should stay above 1.5, so it looks like DS’s 5th week will be comparable to the 1st of normal blockbusters. Ridiculous

Alo12345, if you're worried it's not going to beat Spirited Away, don't be. I still don't want to call it a lock, 100% guarantee, but it's seriously at like 95-99% likely now. Five weeks in release would have shown SOME weakness or slowdown by now (and it's only had a single holiday the entire time), and it still hasn't.

It's still above "normal" uber-blockbusters. I know what you meant, but most blockbusters never see a single weekend above 1 million admissions (Demon Slayer is about to have its 5th), and might open a bit above ¥1 billion (big difference versus ¥1.5 billion). Usually ¥1-1.3 billion on 700,000-900,000 admissions is the typical blockbuster/uber-blockbuster starting point (Demon Slayer almost got in that range on its fifth Saturday alone).

so there is a holiday weekend next week? I forgot that

This means that we will go on a weekend boosted by gifts then a weekend boosted by a vacation day, then a weekend boosted by gifts again, then there is a weekend which will perhaps be boosted by the release of the last volume of the manga, then another weekend boosted by gifts and finally 18 days of vacation?

All this with weekdays equal to or greater in its 4th week equal to or greater than the first weekdays of the biggest movies?

Me I am of the same opinion as @Corpse there is nothing to worry about unless there are drops of 35% or higher in the coming weeks but as @Corpse said once again saw the trend of the last few days it should not happen, to see in the future

Yes, Aniplex has timed this extraordinarily well. The only weekend from now until mid-January without a potential benefit (giveaway, holiday, manga release, etc.) is Dec. 19-20. Every other weekend until Jan. 16-17 has some benefit.

11/14 - 1st giveaway
11/21 - Holiday Monday
11/28 - 2nd giveaway
12/5 - final manga release/final rebroadcast of the anime
12/12 - 3rd giveaway
12/19 - nothing
12/26 - 4th and final giveaway/Winter Break begins
01/2 - New Year/Bank Holidays/Holiday Monday
01/9 - New Year (extended this year)/Holiday Monday

Effectively everything was incredibly well calculated, will the next 3 gift weekends also be in the same form with 1.5 million copies again?

I haven't seen any announcement on the print-run for the next giveaway(s), but I'd say 1.5 million is a good number. They could go higher, as today has shown with the slight increase it's beneficial for them and movie theaters, but going too high would likely decrease the demand somewhat, especially since some people are selling them online. 1-1.5 million is good.

The goal would be to provide enough of a benefit over the weekend frame, but sell-out of them by interest (instead of just handing them out to casual moviegoers as they come in) within the first week.

Hong Kong nice Saturday. Will estimate at HK$4.25mn. 3 days HK$10-10.25mn ($1.3mn) Approx. Weekend will be HK$14-15mn Approx.

Taiwan shall cross $12.75mn by Sunday most likely.

Singapore we will get to know on Monday. Europe release will be in December most likely.

charlie, or anyone else, do you know if it's true that it's already become the highest grossing animated film ever in Taiwan? Frozen II apparently had the record, but Demon Slayer outgrossed it in a week... I saw it mentioned, but no source to back it up.

Frozen II grossed NT$343,888,208 (1,453,812 admits) in Taiwan. Demon Slayer was NT$322mn yesterday, most likely crossed it today, if not tomorrow for sure.

I don't know much about the Taiwanese market, but that seems quite insane unless it's a rapidly growing market (but even then, beating a record like that so fast is crazy).

Thank you.

Even I am not really well versed with Taiwan yet other than seeing numbers, but seems like just like Japan, lack of competition is helping big time. Even TENET and Peninsula had really great numbers.

Demon Slayer will most likely cross NT$500mn, making it to Top 20 grossers of all time. Highest grossing Non-English film is Along With the Gods: The Two Worlds at NT$513mn, that's a good target.

Usual Locations (~70% of Market) - Weekend Admissions

All Biggest Saturday's Since 2015:

Saturday Results (~70% of Market):
Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings], Film Title
983,582/1,278,438 (76.9% capacity), [267/6,080] - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (Oct., 2020)
849,337/1,205,680 (70.4% capacity), [265/5,846] - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (Oct., 2020) *2nd Sat.*
666,348/1,132,873 (58.8% capacity), [267/5,554] - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (Oct., 2020) *3rd Sat.*
455,669/1,042,619 (43.7% capacity), [268/4,885] - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (Oct., 2020) *5th Sat.*
452,803/1,077,542 (42.0% capacity), [267/3,777] - Frozen II (Nov., 2019)
446,065/1,026,179 (43.4% capacity), [263/4,776] - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (Oct., 2020) *4th Sat.*
348,024/605,267 (57.4% capacity), [239/1,676] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
345,143/655,976 (52.6% capacity), [249/1,832] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
332,987/725,315 (45.9% capacity), [258/2,202] - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Apr., 2019)
330,349/701,865 (47.1% capacity), [247/2,864] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)
317,709/530,456 (59.9% capacity), [231/1,727] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015)
303,762/991,341 (30.6% capacity), [266/3,582] - Frozen II (Nov., 2019) *2nd Sat.*
293,246/714,702 (41.0% capacity), [236/2,789] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015)
289,656/530,905 (54.5% capacity), [230/1,502] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
286,726/658,842 (43.5% capacity), [231/2,256] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)
283,482/670,255 (42.3% capacity), [254/2,527] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)
279,289/719,848 (38.8% capacity), [261/2,370] - Weathering With You (July, 2019)
274,872/775,754 (35.4% capacity), [262/2,657] - Toy Story 4 (July, 2019)
274,621/729,821 (37.6% capacity), [267/2,669] - Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Dec., 2019)
271,313/719,670 (37.7% capacity), [261/2,374] - Aladdin (June, 2019)
267,547/524,773 (51.0% capacity), [218/1,439] - Your Name. (Aug., 2016) *2nd Sat.*
266,911/816,498 (32.7% capacity), [251/3,196] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018)
262,671/667,610 (39.3% capacity), [245/2,327] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)
260,076/527,874 (49.3% capacity), [218/1,416] - Your Name. (Aug., 2016) *3rd Sat.*
256,171/625,193 (40.9% capacity), [260/2,208] - Aladdin (June, 2019) *2nd Sat.*
248,763/515,707 (48.2% capacity), [220/1,365] - Your Name. (Aug., 2016) *5th Sat.*
248,613/533,783 (46.6% capacity), [258/2,293] - Avengers: Endgame (Apr., 2019)
241,332/608,132 (39.7% capacity), [250/1,979] - Code Blue (July, 2018)
239,231/508,838 (47.0% capacity), [247/1,870] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017) *2nd Sat.*
228,918/588,463 (38.9% capacity), [260/2,021] - Aladdin (June, 2019) *3rd Sat.*
227,517/473,967 (48.0% capacity), [221/1,582] - Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F (Apr., 2015)
224,049/629,042 (35.6% capacity), [261/2,139] - Weathering With You (July, 2019) *2nd Sat.*
219,551/851,490 (25.8% capacity), [266/3,279] - Frozen II (Nov., 2019) *3rd Sat.*
217,237/519,533 (41.8% capacity), [218/1,410] - Your Name. (Aug., 2016) *4th Sat.*
217,221/919,956 (23.6% capacity), [258/3,250] - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Nov., 2018)
209,804/462,825 (45.3% capacity), [229/1,366] - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (Apr., 2015)
205,137/648,401 (31.6% capacity), [259/2,096] - Godzilla: King of the Monsters (June, 2019)
202,075/451,836 (44.7% capacity), [218/1,257] - Your Name. (Aug., 2016)
201,003/629,398 (31.9% capacity), [258/2,035] - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Apr., 2019) *2nd Sat.*

Note: 4th Saturday was adjusted up to account for the missing admissions that weren't added to the total last week.

Do you know how much made Frozen 2 for his first Saturday and for his OW ?

Hey! After lurking here everyday since the movie came out, I decided to make an account to provide more information. Mostly my expertise lies in ufotable. Regarding the tax evasion, the answer is that nothing really happened. Kondo remains the president of the company. The only thing that changed is that he is no longed credited, for example his name is not in the credits for this movie.

If anyone wants to learn more about ufotable, here is a good article about their history which was recently published:
https://blog.sakugabooru.com/2020/11/13 ... us-growth/

By the way, I think the TV rebroadcast changed its schedule. They are now showing the episodes that were already previously rebroadcasted including episode 19.
https://news.line.me/articles/oa-thetvj ... paign=none

Also, Thank you Corpse for all the work you do!

No actuals were released, but we have a good estimate. At the usual locations, its first Saturday accounted for 51.1% of its weekend take, so using that, we get around ¥815-830 million and 620,000-625,000 admissions as a likely range.