The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release)
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Enki
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Tue Dec 29, 2009 2:20 pm
Posts: 88
Location: Chicago
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Captain_cold wrote: Oh yeah,
and I predict
Friday: 26 mil
Sat: 23 mil
Sun: 19 mil
68 million weekend So, Is that how this works? You register, and get all the 1-day glory at your first prediction? Good work  _________________
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| Fri Jan 01, 2010 7:10 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
| Day | Avatar | Return of the King | Dead Man's Chest | The Dark Knight |
| Wed | - | $34,450,834
- / -
$34,450,834 / 1 | - | - |
| Thu | - | $17,019,987
-50.6% / -
$51,470,821 / 2 | - | - |
| Fri | $26,752,099
- / -
$26,752,099 / 1 | $21,811,549
+28.2% / -
$73,282,370 / 3 | $55,830,600
- / -
$55,830,600 / 1 | $67,165,092
- / -
$67,165,092 / 1 |
| Sat | $25,529,036
-4.6% / -
$52,281,135 / 2 | $27,492,053
+26% / -
$100,774,423 / 4 | $44,443,225
-20.4% / -
$100,273,825 / 2 | $47,650,240
-29.1% / -
$114,815,332 / 2 |
| Sun | $24,744,346
-3.1% / -
$77,025,481 / 3 | $23,326,111
-15.2% / -
$124,100,534 / 5 | $35,360,729
-20.4% / -
$135,634,554 / 3 | $43,596,151
-8.5% / -
$158,411,483 / 3 |
| Mon | $16,385,820
-33.8% / -
$93,411,301 / 4 | $13,563,208
-41.9% / -
$137,663,742 / 6 | $18,140,271
-48.7% / -
$153,774,825 / 4 | $24,493,313
-43.8% / -
$182,904,796 / 4 |
| Tue | $16,086,461
-1.8% / -
$109,497,762 / 5 | $12,476,242
-8% / -
$150,139,984 / 7 | $15,731,919
-13.3% / -
$169,506,744 / 5 | $20,868,722
-14.8% / -
$203,773,518 / 5 |
| Wed | $16,445,291
+2.2% / -
$125,943,053 / 6 | $7,544,400
-39.5% / -78.1%
$157,684,384 / 8 | $14,154,725
-10% / -
$183,661,469 / 6 | $18,377,288
-11.9% / -
$222,150,806 / 6 |
| Thu | $11,150,998
-32.2% / -
$137,094,051 / 7 | $13,986,220
+85.4% / -17.8%
$171,670,604 / 9 | $12,358,033
-12.7% / -
$196,019,502 / 7 | $16,464,405
-10.4% / -
$238,615,211 / 7 |
| Fri | $23,095,046
+107.1% / -13.7%
$160,189,097 / 8 | $19,152,196
+36.9% / -12.2%
$190,822,800 / 10 | $18,544,356
+50.1% / -66.8%
$214,563,858 / 8 | $23,232,292
+41.1% / -65.4%
$261,847,503 / 8 |
| Sat | $28,274,406
+22.4% / +10.8%
$188,463,503 / 9 | $17,249,267
-9.9% / -37.3%
$208,072,067 / 11 | $24,846,771
+34% / -44.1%
$239,410,629 / 9 | $28,272,494
+21.7% / -40.7%
$290,119,997 / 9 |
| Sun | $24,247,681
-14.2% / -2%
$212,711,184 / 10 | $14,196,641
-17.7% / -39.1%
$222,268,708 / 12 | $18,954,137
-23.7% / -46.4%
$258,364,766 / 10 | $23,661,680
-16.3% / -45.7%
$313,781,677 / 10 |
| Mon | $19,418,139
-19.9% / +18.5%
$232,129,323 / 11 | $10,052,588
-29.2% / -25.9%
$232,321,296 / 13 | $7,912,691
-58.3% / -56.4%
$266,277,457 / 11 | $10,518,116
-55.5% / -57.1%
$324,299,793 / 11 |
| Tue | $18,290,628
-5.8% / +13.7%
$250,419,951 / 12 | $9,615,240
-4.4% / -22.9%
$241,936,536 / 14 | $7,490,004
-5.3% / -52.4%
$273,767,461 / 12 | $9,629,366
-8.4% / -53.9%
$333,929,159 / 12 |
| Wed | $18,466,123
+1% / +12.3%
$268,886,074 / 13 | $7,509,391
-21.9% / -0.5%
$249,445,927 / 15 | $6,448,468
-13.9% / -54.4%
$280,215,929 / 13 | $8,755,141
-9.1% / -52.4%
$342,684,300 / 13 |
| Thu | Est. $14,925,000
-19.2% / +33.8%
$283,811,000 / 14 | $12,784,656
+70.2% / -8.6%
$262,230,583 / 16 | $6,468,103
+0.3% / -47.7%
$286,684,032 / 14 | $8,402,546
-4% / -49%
$351,086,846 / 14 |
_________________
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| Fri Jan 01, 2010 7:33 pm |
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Enki
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Tue Dec 29, 2009 2:20 pm
Posts: 88
Location: Chicago
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread mdana wrote: Shack wrote: Avatar should be at 340 mil after 17 days. TDK of course made 400 mil in 17 days.
Avatar will only be 60 mil behind TDK after this weekend! TDK made 50 mil in its 4th week as a whole (from 18th day-24th day). Avatar SHOULD make 90 at the least.
Its a practical lock to catch TDK at this point. Avatar vs Titanic is the real debate Huh? You really think coming off an inflated week of "non"-holidays that Avatar will only drop from $127m to $90m, a 29% drop? I don't think so: 3rd Week to 4th Week drop ROTK $68.14/$21.91m -67.8% FOTR $49.65m/$22.81m -54.1% Titanic $69.04m/40.41 -41.4% The Prince of Egypt $26.29m/$8.51m -67.6% You've Got Mail $30.5m/$12.6m -58.7% FOTR really shouldn't be on this list because its 3rd week already included weekdays after Jan. 1. Some of the week day 60-70% drops were already part of its third week, so it didn't drop as hard. However, I just wanted to show that even under the most optimistic conditions for a 3rd to 4th week drop, anything under 50% is practically impossible. Avatar is starting to fall behind the pace of TPOE and YGM in week day gross as percentage of overall gross. They have had comparable runs off their OW, but Avatar has given up that lead from last week as well. I threw in Titanic to show how it has quickly fallen behind it as well. OW multiplier for 1st 5 days gross Avatar 1.42 Titanic 1.40 TPOE 1.36 YGM 1.31 5th day as % of total gross through 5 days Titanic 14.9% Avatar 14.7% TPOE 14.5% YGM 13% OW multiplier for 1st 12 days gross Titanic 3.64 TPOE 3.31 Avatar 3.25 YGM 2.99 12th day as % of total gross through 12 days TPOE 8.5% Titanic 7.7% Avatar 7.3% YGM 7.2% Avatar's 3D screens have reached functional capacity. Finally, supply is overtaking demand at this point. Avatar had the worst drop in the top 10 outside of SH yesterday. It hit the iceberg yesterday. I wrote this last week on BOM: mdana1 wrote: Let's compare Avatar to Prince of Egypt from 1998. Prince of Egypt made 58.2% of its seven day total over its first weekend. Avatar made 56.1% which is slightly better. Prince of Egypt dropped 1.9% its second Friday. Avatar depending on what the final for Friday ends up being will be drop around 10%. For the weekend Prince of Egypt increased 4.1% and Avatar looks to drop 5-10%. Prince of Egypt was able to make four times more what it made its first week. If Avatar did the same thing it would end up at $558m, but I think that is the absolute best case scenario and you are comparing a movie that increased its second weekend vs. a movie that dropped slightly. Also, TPOE increase almost 50% during its second weekdays. I don't see Avatar having $20m+ Mon-Thur.
If it does that then Titanic talk may commence immediately.
I don't see WOM of this movie better than The Departed, ROTK, TDK, or first POTC. Lastly, it is SF and that will limit its accessibility compared to a movie like Titanic. It has not met the necessary conditions needed to get it past $550m, and is falling off even that pace. TPOE made almost 50% of its total by day 12. If Avatar does the same thing and remember it has fallen behind in terms of OW multiplier and current daily gross %, it would finish at $528.6m. Barring unforeseen holds in its 4th weekend which I doubt, but can't rule out, Titanic is just a mirage. For me, the question is still if it can overtake TDK. I am wondering... where did you get the 41.4% drop of Titanic from 3rd to 4th week? According to my numbers, Titanic only dropped 16.5% from week 3 to 4, and the averege drop for its entire run from week to week was 19.1% (after removing the outlier in week 31) What I am missing? These data for Titanic's Box Office are taken from BOM: Week Dates Box Office Difference Percentage 1 12/19/1997 -12/25/1997$52,969,336 2 12/26/1997 - 1/1/1998 $71,183,357 $18,214,021 34.4% 3 1/2/1998 - 1/8/1998 $45,012,810 $(26,170,547) -36.8% 4 1/9/1998 - 1/15/1998 $37,568,867 $(7,443,943) -16.5% 5 1/16/1998 - 1/22/1998 $42,626,796 $5,057,929 13.5% 6 1/23/1998 - 1/29/1998 $32,831,865 $(9,794,931) -23.0% 7 1/30/1998 - 2/5/1998 $32,134,797 $(697,068) -2.1% 8 2/6/1998 - 2/12/1998 $29,066,469 $(3,068,328) -9.5% 9 2/13/1998 - 2/19/1998 $38,131,241 $9,064,772 31.2% 10 2/20/1998 - 2/26/1998 $25,825,294 $(12,305,947) -32.3% 11 2/27/1998 - 3/5/1998 $24,200,714 $(1,624,580) -6.3% 12 3/6/1998 - 3/12/1998 $22,315,779 $(1,884,935) -7.8% 13 3/13/1998 - 3/19/1998 $23,481,767 $1,165,988 5.2% 14 3/20/1998 - 3/26/1998 $22,699,938 $(781,829) -3.3% 15 3/27/1998 - 4/2/1998 $18,824,028 $(3,875,910) -17.1% 16 4/3/1998 - 4/9/1998 $15,422,392 $(3,401,636) -18.1% 17 4/10/1998 - 4/16/1998 $12,363,764 $(3,058,628) -19.8% 18 4/17/1998 - 4/23/1998 $9,017,561 $(3,346,203) -27.1% 19 4/24/1998 - 4/30/1998 $6,047,868 $(2,969,693) -32.9% 20 5/1/1998 - 5/7/1998 $4,917,197 $(1,130,671) -18.7% 21 5/8/1998 - 5/14/1998 $3,959,752 $(957,445) -19.5% 22 5/15/1998 - 5/21/1998 $2,785,717 $(1,174,035) -29.6% 23 5/22/1998 - 5/28/1998 $4,248,586 $1,462,869 52.5% 24 5/29/1998 - 6/4/1998 $2,605,134 $(1,643,452) -38.7% 25 6/5/1998 - 6/11/1998 $2,429,418 $(175,716) -6.7% 26 6/12/1998 - 6/18/1998 $1,844,218 $(585,200) -24.1% 27 6/19/1998 - 6/25/1998 $1,633,956 $(210,262) -11.4% 28 6/26/1998 - 7/2/1998 $1,432,567 $(201,389) -12.3% 29 7/3/1998 - 7/9/1998 $945,021 $(487,546) -34.0% 30 7/10/1998 - 7/16/1998 $626,171 $(318,850) -33.7% 31 7/17/1998 - 7/23/1998 $2,605,789 $1,979,618 316.1% 32 7/24/1998 - 7/30/1998 $2,540,298 $(65,491) -2.5% 33 7/31/1998 - 8/6/1998 $2,022,007 $(518,291) -20.4% 34 8/7/1998 - 8/13/1998 $1,586,588 $(435,419) -21.5% 35 8/14/1998 - 8/20/1998 $1,210,134 $(376,454) -23.7% 36 8/21/1998 - 8/27/1998 $921,292 $(288,842) -23.9% 37 8/28/1998 - 9/3/1998 $432,673 $(488,619) -53.0% 38 9/4/1998 - 9/10/1998 $109,840 $(322,833) -74.6% 39 9/11/1998 - 9/17/1998 $79,689 $(30,151) -27.4% 40 9/18/1998 - 9/24/1998 $17,894 $(61,795) -77.5% 41 9/25/1998 - 10/1/1998 $4,473 $(13,421) -75.0% Grand Total $600,683,057 _________________
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| Fri Jan 01, 2010 7:56 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Friday- $25.0 mil
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Fri Jan 01, 2010 8:25 pm |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Friday- $25.4M
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| Fri Jan 01, 2010 8:34 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Gamaur wrote: mdana wrote: I don't see WOM of this movie better than The Departed, ROTK, TDK, or first POTC. that might have been a joke _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Jan 01, 2010 10:39 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6788
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread 26M friday.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri Jan 01, 2010 10:47 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread bloody hell, sorry I didn't keep up with the thread today all, still recovering from a wild new years eve.
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Jan 01, 2010 10:56 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
| Rank | Days in Release | Day | % Change | Domestic Total | Theater Average | Theater Count | Day, Month and Year |
| 1 | Opening Day | $26,752,099 | New | $26,752,099 | $7,750 | 3,452 | Friday, December 18, 2009 |
| 1 | 2nd Day | $25,529,036 | -4.6% | $52,281,135 | $7,395 | 3,452 | Saturday, December 19, 2009 |
| 1 | 3rd Day | $24,744,346 | -3.1% | $77,025,481 | $7,168 | 3,452 | Sunday, December 20, 2009 |
| 1 | 4th Day | $16,385,820 | -33.8% | $93,411,301 | $4,747 | 3,452 | Monday, December 21, 2009 |
| 1 | 5th Day | $16,086,461 | -1.6% | $109,497,762 | $4,660 | 3,452 | Tuesday, December 22, 2009 |
| 2 | 6th Day | $16,445,291 | +2.2% | $125,943,053 | $4,764 | 3,452 | Wednesday, December 23, 2009 |
| 1 | 7th Day | $11,150,998 | -32.2% | $137,122,136 | $3,230 | 3,452 | Thursday, December 24, 2009 |
| 2 | 8th Day | $23,095,046 | +107.1% | -13.7% | $160,189,097 | $6,683 | 3,456 | Friday, December 25, 2009 |
| 1 | 9th Day | $28,274,406 | +22.4% | +10.8% | $188,463,503 | $8,181 | 3,456 | Saturday, December 26, 2009 |
| 1 | 10th Day | $24,247,681 | -14.2% | -2% | $212,711,184 | $7,016 | 3,456 | Sunday, December 27, 2009 |
| 1 | 11th Day | $19,418,139 | -19.9% | +18.5% | $232,129,323 | $5,619 | 3,456 | Monday, December 28, 2009 |
| 1 | 12th Day | $18,290,628 | -5.8% | +13.7% | $250,419,951 | $5,292 | 3,456 | Tuesday, December 29, 2009 |
| 1 | 13th Day | $18,466,123 | +1.0% | +12.3% | $268,886,074 | $5,343 | 3,456 | Wednesday, December 30, 2009 |
| 1 | 14th Day | $14,925,000 | -19.0% | +33.8% | $283,811,000 | $4,319 | 3,456 | Thursday, December 31, 2009 |
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Jan 01, 2010 11:10 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Predict Avatanic's ThursdayMG Casey - 20.99m +14% Jmovies - 20.56m +11% BJs Prediction: 20.15m +9% BennyBlanco - 20.0m +8% Chip Munkington - 19.5m +5% Soagg - 19.45m +5% Mesjarch - 18.5m NC LadiesMan217 - 18.2m -1% Mark66 - 18,189,131m -1% Telemachos - 18.0m -2% Revatar - 17.96m -2% Gamaur - 17.95m -2% Mdana - 17.7m -4% Xiayun - 17.0m -7% Keyser Soze - 16.9m -7% Captain_Cold - 15.9m -13%Average: 18.55m NC close the winner is Captain_Cold or should we say Bold with the lowest posted prediction, congrats 
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Jan 01, 2010 11:14 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
| Rank | Wks in Release | Wknd | % Change | Domestic Total | Theater Average | Theater Count | Day, Month and Year |
| 1 | Opening Wk | $137,122,136 | New | $137,122,136 | $39,723 | 3,452 | December 18-24, 2009 |
| 1 | 2nd Wk | $146,716,999 | +7% | $283,811,000 | $42,453 | 3,456 | +4 | December 25-31, 2009 |
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Jan 01, 2010 11:34 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Predict Avatanic's Friday
BJs Prediction: 27.0m +80%
Revatar - 26.5m 78%
Captain_Cold - 26.0 +74%
Keyser Soze - 26.0m +74
Soagg - 25.5m +70%
Jmovies - 25.4m +70%
Chip Munkington - 25.0 +68%
LadiesMan217 - 23.8m +60%
Eventine 23,4m +56%
Mark66 - 22.725m +52%
Mesjarch - 22.0m +47%
Enki - 21.90m +47%
Average: 24.60m +65%
closed
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 12:04 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Predict Avatanic's 3rd Wknd
EnKi - 81.5m +7%
BJs Prediction: 70.90m -6%
Mark66 - 68.055m -10%
Jmovies - 68m -10%
Captain_Cold - 68m -10%
Soagg - 66.9m -11%
BennyBlanco - 66.5m -12%
Xiayun - 64.5m -15%
DIB2 - 64.5m -15%
Eventine 63.8m -15%
LadiesMan217 - 64.3m -15%
MG Casey - 64m -15%
Keyser Soze - 62m -18%
Flava'd - 62m -18%
2001 - 61m -19%
Gamaur - 61m -19%
Mesjarch - 60.5m -19%
Solas - 60.5m -19%
Lotan - 60.0m -20%
Revatar - 58.67m -22%
Telemachos - 57m -24%
Chip Munkington - 56.8m -24%
~Average: 63.59m -15%
closed
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 12:10 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Predict How Many Days it will take Avatanic to Reach 400mEnki - 21 -BJ - 22 -DIB2 - 22 -Captain_Cold - 22 Soagg - 23 -Mark66 - 24 -Rev - 24 Predict How Many Days it will take Avatanic to Reach 500mEnki - 29 -Soagg - 31 -BJ - 33 -DIB2 - 35 -Captain_Cold - 36 -Rev - 38 Deadline for 400m will be on Monday, Jan 4 2010, as always, post your prediction for a chance at one day of predicting glory
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 12:13 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread BJ wrote: Domestic Total:
Mr. Blue - 120m | multiplier - 4.80
LadiesMan - 160m | multiplier - 4.57
Excel - 200m | multiplier - 4.44
Kris K - 210m | multiplier - 3.00
Nebs - 228.1m | multiplier - 3.84
Zingy - 234m | multiplier - 3.60
BK - 235m | multiplier - 3.61
MG Casey - 235m | multiplier - 5.00
Archangel - 240m | multiplier - 3.69
Tuukka - 240m | multiplier - 4.00
2001 - 250m | multiplier - 4.55
Madgez - 260m | multiplier - 4.56
したい - 265m | multiplier - 4.82
Neo_Wolf - 270m | multiplier - 4.35
Mr. Lobotomy - 274.25m | multiplier - 4.27
KC - 275m | multiplier - 4.44
billybobwashere - 285m | multiplier - 5.18
Jon - 295.5m | multiplier - 5.54
Dr. Lecter - 303m | multiplier - 4.97
Magnus - 300m | multiplier - 5.00
The Dark Shape - 310m | multiplier - 4.77
Proud Ryu - 320m | multiplier - 4.06
O - 327.6m | multiplier - 5.60
Telemachos - 340m | multiplier - 4.20
Nazgul - 350m | multiplier - -
Xiayun - 350m | multiplier - 4.61
Justice - 377m | multiplier - 4.08
Chip Munkington - 415m | multiplier - 5.53
Flava'd - 420m | multiplier - 5.45
SolC9 - 459m | multiplier - 4.88
Keyser Soze - 475m | multiplier - 5.28
BennyBlanco - 501m | multiplier - 5.51
Gamaur - 510m | multiplier - 5.74
Rev - 600m | multiplier - 3.53
Mark66 - 625m | multiplier - 8.34
DIB2 - 670m | multiplier - 7.28
BJ - 811m | multiplier - 7.62
Average Domestic Total Prediction: 331.36m
Average Multiplyer: 4.82
only 8 of the first round predictors made it in without having to update in the 2nd round, congrats  don't forget to get your predictions in, especially if you're past prediction was in the red. Those wit a strike through there name have predicted in round 2 BJ wrote: Predict Avatanic's Domestic Total: round 2 update #5
Proud Ryu - 450m
SolC9 - 459m
2001 - 470m
Archangel - 500m
BennyBlanco - 501m
Nazgul - 504m
Telemachos - 510m
BK - 525m
Keyser Soze - 525m
Tyler - 530m
The Dark Shape 540m
Eventine - 541.2m
Captain_Cold - 545m
Xiayun - 550m
LadiesMan217 - 565m
Gamaur - 575m
Chip Munkington - 601m
Soagg - 602m
Jmovies - 612m
Revatar - 612.5m
Mesjarch - 620m
Mark66 - 625m
DIB2 - 720m
Lotan - 770m
BJ - 811m
EnKi - 1.025b
Average Domestic Total Prediction: 583.80m
newly submitted are in bold, have fun all.
round 2 so far, you have till sunday, post em eh. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 12:14 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 12:27 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread BOM Update:Avatar(Avatanic)Reader Rating: A- (2,485 votes)A's: 2,271 - 85.3%
B's: 195 - 7.2%
C's: 55 - 2.1%
D's: 30 - 1.1%
F's: 112 - 4.2%
Top Rated #3 top rated from readersmoved up to #2 top rated 
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 12:30 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread IMDB Update:AvatarUser Rating: 8.8/10 (98,572 votes)User Ratings for AvatarUser Comments for AvatarIMDB top 250 #26 on top 250External Reviewspeaked at #21  slipped to #26
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 12:33 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread What is your top choice to see this weekend (Jan. 1-3)?
60.3% Avatar
15.1% Sherlock Holmes
5.9% No interest this weekend.
4.0% Up in the Air
2.3% Nine
2.2% The Princess and the Frog
2.0% Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel
1.9% Other
1.9% The Blind Side
1.3% New Moon
1.3% Invictus
1.3% It's Complicated
0.5% Did You Hear About the Morgans?
1,981 users polled. (This poll is now closed.)
first film to ever achieve 60% #1 choice in its third wknd.
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 12:35 am |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Enki wrote: mdana wrote: Shack wrote: Avatar should be at 340 mil after 17 days. TDK of course made 400 mil in 17 days.
Avatar will only be 60 mil behind TDK after this weekend! TDK made 50 mil in its 4th week as a whole (from 18th day-24th day). Avatar SHOULD make 90 at the least.
Titanic day 17 total $157,467,971 Titanic day 24 total $197,881,813 Those are the periods I was comparing.
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 2:11 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread http://www.deadline.com/hollywood/new-y ... -domestic/Avatar - 24M weekend estimates 58M. Though these numbers seem pretty fast I think so when the real numbers come in it will be 1.5M more to match my numbers 
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 3:46 am |
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Chrad
Speed Racer
Joined: Tue Aug 18, 2009 10:46 am
Posts: 119
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread If Avatar really had a $24m Friday, then there's no way it's weekend total is only $58 M. It would be making on Saturday and Sunday less than it made on every other (non NYE) day this week.
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 4:06 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread A $24m Friday should result in a weekend in the low 60's.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 4:13 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Chrad wrote: If Avatar really had a $24m Friday, then there's no way it's weekend total is only $58 M. It would be making on Saturday and Sunday less than it made on every other (non NYE) day this week. Well Saturday's numbers are expected to go down in comparison to Friday and Sunday well that always goes down though that particular day Avatar has made all the predictors go wild eyes 
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 4:17 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Corpse wrote: A $24m Friday should result in a weekend in the low 60's. What number would have resulted in upper 60's?
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 4:19 am |
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