| World of KJ http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/ |
|
| Japan Box-Office: On Hiatus http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=55322 |
Page 543 of 952 |
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 1:13 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
Usual Locations (~70% of Market) - Saturday Ticket Sales: 10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 5PM > 7PM > 9PM > FINAL 142,242 > 181,599 > 276,561 > 336,368 > 367,422 - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train Previous Major Openers (Saturday Results) [2015-] Spoiler: show |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 1:14 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
charlie jat wrote: Thinking 925k in usual locations today. Same, 900-925,000. But I'm hoping it reaches 1 million at just the usual locations! If we use 925,000 at the usual locations, that'd likely mean around 1.3 million admissions for the day. And 1.3 million admissions would result in a Saturday gross around ¥1.7 billion ($16 million). So... Friday: ~¥1.3 billion ($12 million) / ~950,000 admissions. Saturday: ~¥1.7 billion ($16 million) / ~1.3 million admissions. Sunday will probably be between the two days, but likely closer to Saturday than Friday, but let's say right in the middle with ~¥1.5 billion ($14 million) / ~1.1 million admissions. So possibly looking at an opening weekend of ¥3.2 billion ($30 million) / 2.4 million admissions, and a 3-day total of ¥4.5 billion ($42/43 million) / 3.3/3.4 million admissions. This would be just completely ridiculous, as it'd break the opening weekend record by almost ¥1 billion and about 1 million admissions. It'd also double the current 3-day record as well. And its 3-day total would be greater than all but 2 or 3 film's two-week (9/10-day) totals. But, it's looking realistic right now. |
|
| Author: | R136a1 [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 1:26 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
Even an average multiplier off that OW would take Demon Slayer above ¥20 billion total! I'm really curious how high it can potentially go. |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 1:39 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
Some are anticipating a gross above ¥15 billion (~$150 million), and even ¥20 billion ($200 million), as you suggested, or higher, is being considered. Demon Slayer has gone beyond just being a popular anime/manga series, and has truly become a social phenomenon in the country. I elaborated more in a prior post, but it checks all the boxes on what makes something a social phenomenon: An emotional or tragic story involving siblings/family or a couple, high critical/audience acclaim, popular chart-topping songs/soundtrack, and strong female support (unusual for most Shonen manga). Almost every top grossing film (or brand) in Japan has had these four ingredients that drove their success. |
|
| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 1:49 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
It would really be interesting seeing its legs because even with average legs this will do HUGE numbers. Its just been too long where BO has become interesting and these numbers are just out-of-this-world. |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 2:14 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterates Pre-Sale Reco |
Demon Slayer: Mugen Train [Saturday Cumulative Hourly Sales] Usual Locations (70% of the Market): 07AM - 11,314 (~15,800)...........................08AM - 30,010 (~42,000) 09AM - 93,760 (~131,300).........................10AM - 142,242 (~199,100) 11AM - 181,599 (~254,200)........................12PM - 276,561 (~387,200) 01PM - 336,368 (~470,900)........................02PM - 367,422 (~514,400) 03PM - 461,081 (~645,500)........................04PM - 05PM - ......................06PM - 07PM - ......................08PM - 09PM - ......................10PM - 11PM - ......................12AM - FINAL - Note: Usual location admissions is the first number (70% of market), while I'm providing a projected overall admissions number in (parenthesis). As of 3pm, it has sold 79.1% of its available seats up to that point. Demon Slayer: Mugen Train [Friday Cumulative Hourly Sales] Spoiler: show |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 2:15 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
Usual Locations (~70% of Market) - Saturday Ticket Sales: 10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 5PM > 7PM > 9PM > FINAL 142,242 > 181,599 > 276,561 > 336,368 > 367,422 > 461,081 - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train Previous Major Openers (Saturday Results) [2015-] Spoiler: show |
|
| Author: | chQta [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 2:29 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
Insane!!! |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 3:15 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterates Pre-Sale Reco |
Demon Slayer: Mugen Train [Saturday Cumulative Hourly Sales] Usual Locations (70% of the Market): 07AM - 11,314 (~15,800)...........................08AM - 30,010 (~42,000) 09AM - 93,760 (~131,300).........................10AM - 142,242 (~199,100) 11AM - 181,599 (~254,200)........................12PM - 276,561 (~387,200) 01PM - 336,368 (~470,900)........................02PM - 367,422 (~514,400) 03PM - 461,081 (~645,500)........................04PM - 520,550 (~728,800) 05PM - ......................06PM - 07PM - ......................08PM - 09PM - ......................10PM - 11PM - ......................12AM - FINAL - Note: Usual location admissions is the first number (70% of market), while I'm providing a projected overall admissions number in (parenthesis). As of 4pm, it has sold 79.5% of its available seats up to that point. Demon Slayer: Mugen Train [Friday Cumulative Hourly Sales] Spoiler: show |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 3:15 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
Usual Locations (~70% of Market) - Saturday Ticket Sales: 10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 5PM > 7PM > 9PM > FINAL 142,242 > 181,599 > 276,561 > 336,368 > 367,422 > 461,081 > 520,550 - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train Previous Major Openers (Saturday Results) [2015-] Spoiler: show |
|
| Author: | charlie jat [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 3:29 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
Last hour was 82.93%. 629k seats remaining for rest of day. If it maintain 80%, it will cruise past 1mn. But last night post 22:00 was very slow weirdly. Though even 70% will see 960k. |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:11 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterates Pre-Sale Reco |
Demon Slayer: Mugen Train [Saturday Cumulative Hourly Sales] Usual Locations (70% of the Market): 07AM - 11,314 (~15,800)...........................08AM - 30,010 (~42,000) 09AM - 93,760 (~131,300).........................10AM - 142,242 (~199,100) 11AM - 181,599 (~254,200)........................12PM - 276,561 (~387,200) 01PM - 336,368 (~470,900)........................02PM - 367,422 (~514,400) 03PM - 461,081 (~645,500)........................04PM - 520,550 (~728,800) 05PM - 559,281 (~783,000)........................06PM - 07PM - ......................08PM - 09PM - ......................10PM - 11PM - ......................12AM - FINAL - Note: Usual location admissions is the first number (70% of market), while I'm providing a projected overall admissions number in (parenthesis). As of 5pm, it has sold 79.1% of its available seats up to that point. Demon Slayer: Mugen Train [Friday Cumulative Hourly Sales] Spoiler: show |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:12 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
Usual Locations (~70% of Market) - Saturday Ticket Sales: 10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 5PM > 7PM > 9PM > FINAL 142,242 > 181,599 > 276,561 > 336,368 > 367,422 > 461,081 > 520,550 > 559,281 - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train Previous Major Openers (Saturday Results) [2015-] Spoiler: show |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 5:08 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterates Pre-Sale Reco |
Demon Slayer: Mugen Train [Saturday Cumulative Hourly Sales] Usual Locations (70% of the Market): 07AM - 11,314 (~15,800)...........................08AM - 30,010 (~42,000) 09AM - 93,760 (~131,300).........................10AM - 142,242 (~199,100) 11AM - 181,599 (~254,200)........................12PM - 276,561 (~387,200) 01PM - 336,368 (~470,900)........................02PM - 367,422 (~514,400) 03PM - 461,081 (~645,500)........................04PM - 520,550 (~728,800) 05PM - 559,281 (~783,000)........................06PM - 631,480 (~884,100) 07PM - ......................08PM - 09PM - ......................10PM - 11PM - ......................12AM - FINAL - Note: Usual location admissions is the first number (70% of market), while I'm providing a projected overall admissions number in (parenthesis). As of 6pm, it has sold 78.5% of its available seats up to that point. Demon Slayer: Mugen Train [Friday Cumulative Hourly Sales] Spoiler: show |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 6:03 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterates Pre-Sale Reco |
Demon Slayer: Mugen Train [Saturday Cumulative Hourly Sales] Usual Locations (70% of the Market): 07AM - 11,314 (~15,800)...........................08AM - 30,010 (~42,000) 09AM - 93,760 (~131,300).........................10AM - 142,242 (~199,100) 11AM - 181,599 (~254,200)........................12PM - 276,561 (~387,200) 01PM - 336,368 (~470,900)........................02PM - 367,422 (~514,400) 03PM - 461,081 (~645,500)........................04PM - 520,550 (~728,800) 05PM - 559,281 (~783,000)........................06PM - 631,480 (~884,100) 07PM - 689,893 (~965,800)........................08PM - 09PM - ......................10PM - 11PM - ......................12AM - FINAL - Note: Usual location admissions is the first number (70% of market), while I'm providing a projected overall admissions number in (parenthesis). As of 7pm, it has sold 78.6% of its available seats up to that point. Demon Slayer: Mugen Train [Friday Cumulative Hourly Sales] Spoiler: show |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 6:04 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
Usual Locations (~70% of Market) - Saturday Ticket Sales: 10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 5PM > 7PM > 9PM > FINAL 142,242 > 181,599 > 276,561 > 336,368 > 367,422 > 461,081 > 520,550 > 559,281 > 689,893 - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train Previous Major Openers (Saturday Results) [2015-] Spoiler: show |
|
| Author: | JustLurking [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 6:44 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
So it has already broken yesterday's record with 5 hours left to go. That's incredible. |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 7:08 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
Yep. I'm staying up all-night so I don't miss out on this historic moment. Japan is a never say never sort of market regarding records, even if it might take decades for something to be broken, but I just can't imagine what Demon Slayer is doing this weekend ever being topped. It's going to break the opening weekend record, which has stood for 17-years (and includes a ton of previews), by possibly ¥1 billion and 1 million admissions. Just its Saturday alone won't be far off the opening weekend record. And its 3-day total could be higher than the two-week total of any past film. These are just some of the crazy records it's totally shattering, not simply beating, in its first three days. Who knows what it might put up afterwards. |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 7:10 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterates Pre-Sale Reco |
Demon Slayer: Mugen Train [Saturday Cumulative Hourly Sales] Usual Locations (70% of the Market): 07AM - 11,314 (~15,800)...........................08AM - 30,010 (~42,000) 09AM - 93,760 (~131,300).........................10AM - 142,242 (~199,100) 11AM - 181,599 (~254,200)........................12PM - 276,561 (~387,200) 01PM - 336,368 (~470,900)........................02PM - 367,422 (~514,400) 03PM - 461,081 (~645,500)........................04PM - 520,550 (~728,800) 05PM - 559,281 (~783,000)........................06PM - 631,480 (~884,100) 07PM - 689,893 (~965,800)........................08PM - 791,427 (~1,108,000) 09PM - ......................10PM - 11PM - ......................12AM - FINAL - Note: Usual location admissions is the first number (70% of market), while I'm providing a projected overall admissions number in (parenthesis). As of 8pm, it has sold 78.9% of its available seats up to that point. Demon Slayer: Mugen Train [Friday Cumulative Hourly Sales] Spoiler: show |
|
| Author: | Cynosure [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 7:15 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
Will easily make it into the top 10 highest-grossing films of 2020 (needs $135m). Corpse, do you know if any release is scheduled in China ? In South-Korea ? And in other Asian countries ? It needs $309m to make top 5 and $427m to make top 2. |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 7:26 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
Cynosure wrote: Will easily make it into the top 10 highest-grossing films of 2020 (needs $135m). Corpse, do you know if any release is scheduled in China ? In South-Korea ? And in other Asian countries ? It needs $309m to make top 5 and $427m to make top 2. It has a November release date in Thailand. That's the only confirmed date so far to my knowledge. Well, it's supposed to be released in the U.S. in early 2021, but I'm doubting that. And who knows where it could end up in Japan. This is such an unprecedented opening, and not just because it's breaking all the records, it's by just how much it's beating them by. A ¥20 billion ($200 million) total would be "expected" from a regular ole multiplier with how high its opening, and given the status the film has achieved, and its reception so far, it could do more than that. ¥25 billion ($250 million) would happen with just a good multiplier. But this is very uncharted territory, so I don't want to get too into the "what will it gross?" conversation right now. Ironically, COVID--the box-office killer almost everywhere else--is the only way this is happening right now, since it's allowed for crazy record seating. It would have been big in a normal year, certainly, but it'd be restricted to an extent. And COVID has Hollywood pulling or delaying all their films, so the next several months are totally empty outside of local competition. There's plenty of local films opening, and the Japan box-office can support itself fine enough, but Demon Slayer will be playing insanely wide for months with Hollywood's absence and could develop into a strong repeat viewer. |
|
| Author: | JustLurking [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 7:53 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
Corpse wrote: Cynosure wrote: Will easily make it into the top 10 highest-grossing films of 2020 (needs $135m). Corpse, do you know if any release is scheduled in China ? In South-Korea ? And in other Asian countries ? It needs $309m to make top 5 and $427m to make top 2. It has a November release date in Thailand. That's the only confirmed date so far to my knowledge. Well, it's supposed to be released in the U.S. in early 2021, but I'm doubting that. And who knows where it could end up in Japan. This is such an unprecedented opening, and not just because it's breaking all the records, it's by just how much it's beating them by. A ¥20 billion ($200 million) total would be "expected" from a regular ole multiplier with how high its opening, and given the status the film has achieved, and its reception so far, it could do more than that. ¥25 billion ($250 million) would happen with just a good multiplier. But this is very uncharted territory, so I don't want to get too into the "what will it gross?" conversation right now. Ironically, COVID--the box-office killer almost everywhere else--is the only way this is happening right now, since it's allowed for crazy record seating. It would have been big in a normal year, certainly, but it'd be restricted to an extent. And COVID has Hollywood pulling or delaying all their films, so the next several months are totally empty outside of local competition. There's plenty of local films opening, and the Japan box-office can support itself fine enough, but Demon Slayer will be playing insanely wide for months with Hollywood's absence and could develop into a strong repeat viewer. KNY movie SEA tentative dates Fan's Screening (FS) Japan import Fan's Screening (JIFS) General Screening (GS) SG: FS NC16 - 7 nov FS PG13 - 14 nov GS NC16 - 19 nov GS PG13 - 3 dec JIFS NC16 - 19 dec JIFS PG 13 - 26 dec MY & BN(BN only have GS) : FS - 5 Dec JIFS - 19 Dec GS - 4 Feb 21 VN : FS - 19 nov JIFS - 26 Nov GS - 9 Jan 21 ID/PH/Myanmar : FS - Jan 2021 GS - Feb 2021 Also China is a generic 2020 and Taiwan late 2020 IIRC. |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 7:59 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
I'm glad you joined, JustLurking! |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 8:07 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterates Pre-Sale Reco |
Demon Slayer: Mugen Train [Saturday Cumulative Hourly Sales] Usual Locations (70% of the Market): 07AM - 11,314 (~15,800)...........................08AM - 30,010 (~42,000) 09AM - 93,760 (~131,300).........................10AM - 142,242 (~199,100) 11AM - 181,599 (~254,200)........................12PM - 276,561 (~387,200) 01PM - 336,368 (~470,900)........................02PM - 367,422 (~514,400) 03PM - 461,081 (~645,500)........................04PM - 520,550 (~728,800) 05PM - 559,281 (~783,000)........................06PM - 631,480 (~884,100) 07PM - 689,893 (~965,800)........................08PM - 791,427 (~1,108,000) 09PM - 890,103 (~1,246,100).....................10PM - 11PM - ......................12AM - FINAL - Note: Usual location admissions is the first number (70% of market), while I'm providing a projected overall admissions number in (parenthesis). As of 9pm, it has sold 78.8% of its available seats up to that point. Demon Slayer: Mugen Train [Friday Cumulative Hourly Sales] Spoiler: show |
|
| Author: | Corpse [ Sat Oct 17, 2020 8:08 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Japan Box Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books |
Usual Locations (~70% of Market) - Saturday Ticket Sales: 10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 5PM > 7PM > 9PM > FINAL 142,242 > 181,599 > 276,561 > 336,368 > 367,422 > 461,081 > 520,550 > 559,281 > 689,893 > 890,103 - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train Previous Major Openers (Saturday Results) [2015-] Spoiler: show |
|
| Page 543 of 952 | All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ] |
| Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group http://www.phpbb.com/ |
|