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 Weekend Estimates 
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Extraordinary
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Post Weekend Estimates
John Wick - 57m
Avengers - 29.4m [53.5% drop]
Detective Pikachu - 24.8m [54.4% drop]
A Dog's Journey - 8m
The Sun is Also a Star - 2.6m

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/c ... =20&p=.htm


Sun May 19, 2019 1:26 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Avengers avoided a 55% drop, luckily. Avatar WW might still be in play.

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Sun May 19, 2019 2:15 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Best case scenario seems like around 860m for Endgame [3x multiplier from this weekend, probably not happening]


Sun May 19, 2019 2:40 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Chippy wrote:
Avengers avoided a 55% drop, luckily. Avatar WW might still be in play.

It was never not in play.

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Sun May 19, 2019 3:19 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Rev wrote:
Chippy wrote:
Avengers avoided a 55% drop, luckily. Avatar WW might still be in play.

It was never not in play.


At this point it'll likely barely pass it.


Sun May 19, 2019 3:23 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Rev wrote:
Chippy wrote:
Avengers avoided a 55% drop, luckily. Avatar WW might still be in play.

It was never not in play.


Legs have not been kind. Not that you'll regret this post... but it's still very possible it misses Avatar.

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Sun May 19, 2019 3:24 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
It should have a decent hold next week with Memorial Day. I think it will pass Avatar and then some.

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Sun May 19, 2019 4:07 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Holy crap John Wick made $92m international?! That's more than the total of the last film.

We'll definitely get Part 4 now won't we? Maybe this will turn into the new Fast & Furious.

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Sun May 19, 2019 4:40 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Barrabás wrote:
Holy crap John Wick made $92m international?! That's more than the total of the last film.

We'll definitely get Part 4 now won't we? Maybe this will turn into the new Fast & Furious.

$92M Worldwide($35M international).


Sun May 19, 2019 6:21 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Minor spoiler but just to be careful

Spoiler: show
There will be a John Wick 4.


Sun May 19, 2019 6:50 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Fantastic opening for Wick and very much deserved IMO. No idea what the budget was, but it couldn't have cost that much. It's just impressive to see how far this franchise has come in terms of mainstream appeal and success. There will definitely be another one, but I can't help but wonder just how much room is left for this franchise to grow. I wish Avengers held a bit better, but it is what it at this point. The movie has already made a ton of fucking money and anything from here on out is just icing on the cake. It looks like DP is going to finish with a similar total as Shazam, although I don't think that's great news considering it was a much more costly film. The OS numbers haven't been too hot either.


Sun May 19, 2019 7:17 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
pepe pippen wrote:
Barrabás wrote:
Holy crap John Wick made $92m international?! That's more than the total of the last film.

We'll definitely get Part 4 now won't we? Maybe this will turn into the new Fast & Furious.

$92M Worldwide($35M international).


No he's right, WW total is at 150 million

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Sun May 19, 2019 8:43 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
I am sure BOM made a mistake. based on breakdown of OS markets no way it grossed 92m

International debuts for John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum this weekend included:
U.K. - $4.6M
Russia - $3.8M

Australia - $2.8M
Mexico - $2.1M
Thailand - $1.9M
Taiwan - $1.9M
Italy - $1.7M
Philippines - $1.7M
Brazil - $1.3M
Hong Kong - $1.3M

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Mon May 20, 2019 12:58 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
$92 mil is the worldwide total.

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Mon May 20, 2019 1:35 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
BOM has fixed the numbers as well. At least it went up with actuals to 93.3m WW. But it was really incompetent on BOM's part to get it so wrong. That site has gone to dogs since Gray sold it to IMDB.

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Mon May 20, 2019 7:40 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Is it me or has the quality of the articles they post also fallen off a cliff sine the changeover in ownership? I used to anticipate their weekend recaps, they were so well-written and full of insights. They would often comment on the ad campaigns and marketing strategies and provide all kinds of useful info like audience breakdowns and Cinemascores. I even liked the little quips they'd put at the start, like "It's a pirate's life for....everybody" at the start of their Dead Man's Chest breaks the OW record article. It felt like they actually cared but ever since they got rid of those writers the articles are full of typos and grammatical mistakes and are just poorly written in general and useless in terms of providing any analysis.

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Tue May 21, 2019 12:38 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Bit of a late complaint for that, isn't it?

The articles follow a formula now. It's boring. I haven't read them for years.


Tue May 21, 2019 12:43 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Just noticed how A Dog’s Journey flopped.

I wonder if anything could pull a Armageddon/Bug’s Life/Tombstone, where the movie performs better than a Very Similar film that came out earlier in the year.


Tue May 21, 2019 9:55 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
They released ADJ to close to whatever that other dog film was.

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Tue May 21, 2019 10:54 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Amazon says Detective Pikachu is out on bluray June 3rd. Really?


Tue May 21, 2019 8:20 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
SolC9 wrote:
Amazon says Detective Pikachu is out on bluray June 3rd. Really?


Definitely must be a typo.

https://www.dvdsreleasedates.com/movies ... ve-pikachu

The above site is estimating August which makes sense.

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Tue May 21, 2019 10:33 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Compared to what I thought before, Endgame's frontloading ironically weakens the case that big openers drop big. If the good legs for many big openers were because of spillover, it would be one thing. But Avengers, Black Panther, Jurassic World, Spider-Man, and The Phantom Menace appear to have held well because they were not sequels, or had a long wait in the case of TPM. You might thing big drops for big movies means that it is caused by the opening, but correlation doesn't prove causation. Rather big openers seem to drop because they are the type of movies to drop (action-fantasy-sci-fi franchise movies and sequels).

The holds for franchises with a reboot or break make me wonder if the short wait from IW made Endgame more frontloaded. Matrix Revolutions was also very frontloaded after a short wait.


Wed May 22, 2019 2:51 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Problem is how saturated endgame release was. It took over 60-70% of the screens(24-28K). So it ran through audience lot fast that its legs will be short. Dont forget Endgame beat every avengers movie adjusted as well. So its not as if it lost audience. Revolutions lost significant % of audience from Reloaded and so its not a good comparison.

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Wed May 22, 2019 11:15 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Despite the saturation, it seems to have had more spillover than IW based on the Monday drop. The drop was similar over the next couple weeks.


Wed May 22, 2019 6:04 pm
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