The Turk's Movie Predictions Sept 23-25 2011

Sep 23 2011 12:59pm

Rank	Name	Prediction	PTA	% Change
1	The Lion King (in 3D)	21.2M	9100	-30.4%
2	Dolphin Tale	19.2M	5560	NEW
3	Moneyball	14.0M	4685	NEW
4	Killer Elite	9.9M	3315	NEW
5	Abduction	9.3M	2980	NEW
6	Contagion	7.5M	2400	-48.3%
7	Drive	6.2M	2155	-45.3%
8	The Help	4.1M	1520	-37.1%
9	I Don't Know How She Does It	2.3M	930	-47.4%
10	Straw Dogs	2.1M	880	-58.6%

It looks like The Lion King will repeat at number 1 for a 21.2M weekend. At opening at number 2 will be Dolphin Tale probably the only movie that will overpreform tracking this weekend for 19.5M. Opening at 3 will be Moneyball for 14M. Opening at 4 will Killer Elite for 9.9M. Opening at 5 will be Abduction for 9.3M. Dropping 4 spots to number 6 will be Contagion for 7.5M. Also dropping 4 spots to number 7 will be Drive for 6.2M. At 8 will be The Help for 4.1M. At 9 will be I Don't Know How She Does It for 2.3M. Taking a big drop to number 10 will be Straw Dogs for 2.1M.

Total Comments: 2

ShawnMR Sep 23 2011 1:17pm

Very bold call on Dolphin Tale, but the advance sales on Fandango support it. I'm just apprehensive considering Lion King has stolen some thunder with the family audience.

Also bold on Moneyball, for my part anyway. I could see $16-18m, but I'd be surprised if it went below $15m. Otherwise, I love your numbers for most other films.

Crux Sep 27 2011 12:19pm

Practically dead on w/ Lion King, Dolphin Tale, Killer Elite.....good predictions!

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