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The Turk's Movie Prediction Sept. 16-18
Rank Name Prediction PTA % Change
1  The Lion King (in 3D)  18.5M  7940 NEW 
2  Contagion    13.0M   4030 -42.0% 
3  Drive     12.2M   4230 NEW 
4  The Help      5.6M  1870 -36.9% 
5  Straw Dogs       5.5M    2300  NEW 
6  I Don't Know How She Does It       4.3M  1740 NEW 
7  Warrior       3.1M  1650 -40.7% 
8  The Debt       2.6M  1440 -44.7% 
9  Colombiana       2.2M  1150 -43.7% 
10  Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes       2.1M   900 -45.8% 

 

 

With 4 openers this week. One is looking to open in the top spot. With strong sales on fandango at 62% the release of The Lion King is looking to open in the top spot with 18.5M this weekend. At number 2 is last week's number 1; Contagion for another 13M. Opening in the 3rd spot with with a higher theater count than earlier estimates (the highest theather count among openers) is Drive for a 12.2M weekend. In 4th place is The Help for 5.6M. In 5th will be Straw Dogs opening with disapointing numbers (MTC tracking came in quite a bit lower than RS tracking , so I think it end being lower than MTC) so I am predicting 5.5M for Straw Dogs this weekend. In 6 place I am predicting that it will be I Don't Know How She Does It for only 4.3M  weekend (because the theater count came in a few hundered lower than earlier estimates, also MTC is lower than RS, and fairly weak BOM polls). 7th this week will be Warrior for 3.1M. 8th place will be The debt for 2.6M. 9th place will be the Colombiana for 2.2M. 10th wil be Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes for 2.1M.

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