| Rank | Name | Prediction | Theater Count | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hop | 23.8 | 3557 | |
| 2 | Source Code | 21.1 | 2961 | |
| 3 | Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Rodrick Rules | 12.4 | 3169 | |
| 4 | Insidious | 12.3 | 2408 | |
| 5 | Limitless | 9.3 | 2838 | |
| 6 | The Lincoln Lawyer | 7.0 | 2707 | |
| 7 | Sucker Punch | 6.5 | 3033 | |
| 8 | Rango | 5.7 | 3134 | |
| 9 | Paul | 4.4 | 2543 | |
| 10 | Battle LA | 3.5 | 2263 |
Prediction above for span between 12/14/2000 and 12/16/2000
Okay, so my Aprils Fools joke was not noticed. Despite this, here are real set of predictions, which will be viewed even less.
The voice of Russell Brand will Hop into 3557 Easter Basket today. The subject matter is well timed, and it has no 3D. But poor reviews will prevent it from being a big blockbuster. BOM polls and screen allocations are better than those of Yogi Bear and recent 3D mediocre family pics. This not being in 3D will help it cause nobody would pay the surcharge for this. Because of this, it should get a high 6k pta, followed by good legs for the next few weeks as Easter Approaches.
Source Code will do better than people think as it Jakes into 2961 Gylenhaals (okay that made no sense, but maybe this film will). The reviews are excellent, which will bring in adults who don't normally go to the movies. The trailers look intriging to gring in people, and BOM polls are a little better than Limitless. Like Limitless and Adjustment Bureau, this too should be a pta in the 7k range, maybe even more if did not have to compete with Limitless and Lincoln Lawyer (both of which will drop a bit more than last time cause of new competition).
Insidious will also do better than alot of people think. There are no horror films out right now, and the trailers do look very creepy. It scares it way into 2408 dark houses today, and the reviews are favorable too (especially for the genre). BOM polls are a bit better than comparable films like the Orphan. With an open market and good reviews, it should be able to do 5k pta.
Among other holdovers, Wimpy Kid has a better IM on it's opening weekend than the original. It will have a slightly lower decline than the last one cause the big drop from the original film was because the opening Friday was skewed by Spring Break, while it's current sequel was not. With harsh drops on Saturday and Wednesday, I can not see Sucker Punch dropping less than 70% from Friday to Friday (a bigger IM will stablize it a bit, but not by much). Rango sees competition this time. Paul won't stablize that much. Battle LA's theater drop is too harsh to withstand. This is the Scottie signing out, and apologizing for making you read that last article (that is, if you did read the last article).
